It was, Baically, a short lived winter......................

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Lehigh
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It was, Baically, a short lived winter......................

#1 Postby Lehigh » Mon Mar 01, 2004 5:37 am

I knew from the beginning that this winter would be short lived.

I was saying that in the very beginning.

Few cold snaps...............few snow storms and now the end coming.

I also said that this winter will be a winter with little or no snow.

I also said some area's will see some heavy snow.

I also said that we would see milder temps for the most part.

All of the above did happen for most of the area's.

I am bragging a little but even the non-professionals have some insight.

I went by gut feeling this time and was close for the most part.

Late start winter and early spring......Those were my words. :)

Have a GREAT summer.
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#2 Postby JCT777 » Mon Mar 01, 2004 11:46 am

Winter started in early December - I picked up 8 inches of snow on Dec 5-6. January was very cold, and February was not overly warm with the exception of the last few days. I do agree that it was not very snowy, and winter seems to be ending early (although I would not totally rule out a snow event in March).
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#3 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Mon Mar 01, 2004 4:31 pm

JCT777 wrote:Winter started in early December - I picked up 8 inches of snow on Dec 5-6. January was very cold, and February was not overly warm with the exception of the last few days. I do agree that it was not very snowy, and winter seems to be ending early (although I would not totally rule out a snow event in March).


John, Snow in April or even May ( 1977) is Possible..............
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Mar 03, 2004 1:58 pm

Hold that thought ... some ensemble members and op runs are hinting at the possibility of a significant Northeast snowstorm next week...(a redeveloping low off the VA CAPES and heading NE).

The overall pattern looks to head back towards a PNA pattern with Eastern Troughing as a 50/50 low re-establishes itself.
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#5 Postby yoda » Wed Mar 03, 2004 2:34 pm

SF, would that give us in D.C. anything? I saw that 3 ensembles of the GFS have trended toward the UKIE... hopefully the EURO will show something tonight...
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Mar 03, 2004 2:36 pm

yoda wrote:SF, would that give us in D.C. anything? I saw that 3 ensembles of the GFS have trended toward the UKIE... hopefully the EURO will show something tonight...


I'm definitely been out of the mix since I haven't been around much lately. But since it's 6-7 days away, plenty of time to watch the evolution of trends ... last night's EURO brought some pretty cold air down into the East by Days 6-7 ... and the overall pattern suggests some potential ...
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#7 Postby Anonymous » Wed Mar 03, 2004 11:04 pm

I'd say the northeast needs to keep the overcoats out another 6 weeks, but if you live east of the Mts in Virginia and south, you're out of the woods.

It'll stay mild to warm, though a few short chilly episodes with rain and mizzly drizzle per the usual here each spring, then you better have the A/C in top working order this summer!!

It's gonna be very hot folks!!! I'd say 100 to 105 easy in DCA in July, with dewpoints 77 to 84 degrees at times and very litle rain!! It is going to be BONE DRY and hellishly hot!!!

We are going to make up for last summer's cool weather and torrential rains.

This is going to be a long, long hot summer.

We are already sneezing from tree pollen, in early March!!!
Bad, Bad summer cometh. Count on it.


-Jeb



-Jeb
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#8 Postby Guest » Wed Mar 03, 2004 11:13 pm

Next week does look intresting for alot of us from the OV into the northern MA and NE as well. I have been watching the models with that system SF. Funny because from the looks of it this may bring the heaviest snowfall to here so far this year. Certainly was a cold winter but the snow has been lacking around here.

Been told that here when its a pretty much snowless Feb which is was for the most part then march usually makes up for it hard and vise versa. Be intresting to see how that pans out. Last year worked out good because Feb was very snowy but March didnt have any and nor did April.
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#9 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Mar 04, 2004 12:26 am

king of weather wrote:Next week does look intresting for alot of us from the OV into the northern MA and NE as well. I have been watching the models with that system SF. Funny because from the looks of it this may bring the heaviest snowfall to here so far this year. Certainly was a cold winter but the snow has been lacking around here.

Been told that here when its a pretty much snowless Feb which is was for the most part then march usually makes up for it hard and vise versa. Be intresting to see how that pans out. Last year worked out good because Feb was very snowy but March didnt have any and nor did April.


From a historical standpoint, it definitely could average out ... January was cold and dry here, followed by a very wet February with 3 near misses on a significant winter weather events ... really sucks that all three of those times (although there was traces of ZR/IP/SN at one point or another), seeing the dreaded 33º and rain ... :roll:

There's potential and it will be interesting to see since there are two s/w's that will be players (the Day 5 and the Day 6) according to the EC ...
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#10 Postby Lehigh » Fri Mar 05, 2004 5:32 am

king of weather wrote:Next week does look intresting for alot of us from the OV into the northern MA and NE as well. I have been watching the models with that system SF. Funny because from the looks of it this may bring the heaviest snowfall to here so far this year. Certainly was a cold winter but the snow has been lacking around here.

Been told that here when its a pretty much snowless Feb which is was for the most part then march usually makes up for it hard and vise versa. Be intresting to see how that pans out. Last year worked out good because Feb was very snowy but March didnt have any and nor did April.


____________________________________________________________

What I am seeing today Harry is that the future models are showing different patterns for that snow event.

They seem to be all agreeing to a lite snow event for the Northeast but not to significant.

I believe there was one model that was showing a significant event out of all of them.

I believe we will see, if any, 1-3 inches and no more.

This could change either way.

After that we will be back in mild and warmer temps.

Keep me and the others inform if you see anything changes.

I am just too busy to really keep an eye on it but I will know a day before if the storm does hit us with fury. :)
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