St. Paddy's storm CANCEL!

[Colin]

18z GFS had only a mini southern delmarva storm, and 00z ETA now agrees. Sigh.

[Guest]

ETA Has missing Data (Mexico etc)so dismiss it. Still kinda impressive for missing that data.

Just have to wait for the 6z and the 12z for a better look at it.

GGEM still shows a somewhat decent hit.

[Guest]

umm add the GFS to that as well. Missing data as well.

This really blows. Of all times for this to happen.

[Cheesy_Poofs]

00z GFS:

[Anonymous]

00z Sun ECMWF still holds some hope for Southern New England... the threat is now shifted more to Friday into Friday night according to this run, though.

[Anonymous]

The 12z GFS shows an interesting situation with the second system for overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning. While it shunts the low out to sea once it reaches the coast, it does drop some significant precipitation through the central Mid Atlantic (WV/VA/MD/DC/DE/S PA).

The 850mb temperatures and 1000-500mb thicknesses both appear cold enough for snow across most of this area, but the problem is with the surface temperatures (according to this run of the GFS)... note the position of the 0C isotherm at 2m on the maps below... in general, it stays just north and west of where the significant precip is falling.

H+84:

H+90:

H+96:


Still something to watch, I guess.