Post here your number of named storms,canes and major canes

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cycloneye
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Post here your number of named storms,canes and major canes

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 15, 2004 7:29 am

Ok here is the poll you were waiting for about your predictions for the 2004 hurricane season.I will be making a list of all who will participate in the poll and let's see who will be the member or members who are the most close to what in reallity will happen in the 2004 hurricane season.I am putting out this poll more early because some forecasters will come out in comming weeks including Barometer Bob on april 1 and Dr Gray on april 2 and doing this before those dates will not influence members to post their numbers based on what they say.If you want to elaborate about your predictions you can do so.This poll is non-scientific and non-experts can participate also the most knowlegable can also participate.

Here are the S2K members predictions:

Cycloneye=13/8/3
Chadtm80=15/6/3 (Preliminary numbers)
Lindaloo=14/7/3
Stormsfury=13/7/3 (Preliminary numbers)
therock1811=15/6/2
king of weather=14/8/3 (Preliminary numbers)
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Mar 15, 2004 6:12 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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#2 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Mar 15, 2004 12:42 pm

14/7/3
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#3 Postby stormraiser » Mon Mar 15, 2004 1:13 pm

14/8/2
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Mar 15, 2004 3:02 pm

My original prelim numbers released in late December are going to go up on the final Mid-May release on my website ...

Anyone interested in what I had to write back in December can go HERE for my original thoughts ...

IF I were to release numbers at this moment for an update ... I would go with 13/7/3 (up from 10/5/2 in my Dec release) ... based on several factors that have changed since the Mid-Decmber prelim. But my final numbers will not come out until Mid-May ...

SF
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#5 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon Mar 15, 2004 4:02 pm

I'm still going with my signature. 14/9/4
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#6 Postby therock1811 » Mon Mar 15, 2004 4:08 pm

I'll go with 15/6/2
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Re: Post here your number of named storms,canes and major ca

#7 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Mar 15, 2004 5:45 pm

cycloneye wrote:Ok here is the poll you were waiting for about your predictions for the 2004 hurricane season.I will be making a list of all who will participate in the poll and let's see who will be the member or members who are the most close to what in reallity will happen in the 2004 hurricane season.I am putting out this poll more early because some forecasters will come out in comming weeks including Barometer Bob on april 1 and Dr Gray on april 2 and doing this before those dates will not influence members to post their numbers based on what they say.If you want to elaborate about your predictions you can do so.This poll is non-scientific and non-experts can participate also the most knowlegable can also participate.

Here are the S2K members predictions:

Cycloneye=13/8/3
Chadtm80=15/6/3
Lindaloo=14/7/3
Stormsfury=13/7/3
therock1811=15/6/2
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#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Mar 15, 2004 5:46 pm

I need to edit the above post, but can't.
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#9 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 15, 2004 5:50 pm

Tom what do you want to edit?
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#10 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Mar 15, 2004 5:53 pm

Is it that time already? :)

Give me about a week. I still have to do my NCAA brackets first. :wink:
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#11 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Mar 15, 2004 5:53 pm

Add a question to the quote above... it is very difficult not having access to editing and deleting our own posts... I brought this up in the Suggestions forum.
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 15, 2004 5:57 pm

Tom what is the question?
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#13 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Mar 15, 2004 5:59 pm

It will just be easier to have access to editing our own posts when using a message board... it goes along with your quote.
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#14 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Mar 15, 2004 6:00 pm

Why this setup, anyway?
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 15, 2004 6:02 pm

Ok Tom I am sure that Marshall or Chad will have something to say about it.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Mar 15, 2004 6:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#16 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Mar 15, 2004 6:03 pm

Okay. I am looking forward to it immensely either way. :eek:
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#17 Postby Guest » Mon Mar 15, 2004 6:04 pm

Well here is my prelim numbers. No later then Mid April will i have my offical call out. Depends a little on how active the pattern we are in stays which may keep me rather buisy untill then. But anyways for the numbers and a little prelim thought!

Looking at what data i have so far it seems we are in for another buisy season in the tropics with no El,Nino expected untill late in the fall which shouldnt affect much of the season at all except maybe perhaps Late Oct/Nov but even then i dont see much of a impact with the possible on comming El,Nino. Which with this and some other things i have had a chance to look at i would say we may have 14 named systems 8 of which may become Hurricane's and 3 becoming Major Hurricanes. Yeah it looks like my numbers from last year but right now thats how its looking. I will mention as well i see alot higher then normal chance again of a Hurricane strike north of Cape Hattaras to the NE. The same could be said for the gulf coast from Tampa, FL on over to the MS coast where i think we may have a major hurricane higher then normal threat for these areas.

More with my offical outlook!
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ColdFront77

#18 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Mar 15, 2004 6:12 pm

Sorry about bringing up a current issue in this forum.

I suppose I should ask my question: Where are the predictions above coming from, I don't see them posted anywhere in this forum.
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#19 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Mar 15, 2004 6:26 pm

I know I put out some preliminary numbers earlier, but I have no idea where they are and I am too lazy to look for them. Newest preliminary numbers, based on everything in general and nothing in particular bring me to 14/7/4. If I can ever find some time to sit down and do some reading and studying I may revise that downward slightly, but I won't say which one(s). And the inevitable question(I haven't read the whole thread yet so don't throw tomatos!!!)-Does this include only designated TC's or are we talking Extra-tropical, etc.???? :?:
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#20 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 15, 2004 6:46 pm

David Designated TC'S only.
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