chadtm80 wrote:I believe Florida will get in on some nasty storms as well again today.. Set up very similar to yesturday.
Today should bring more of the same as yesterday, however thunderstorms should remain mostly below severe limits, w/ HVY rainfall the primary concern.
tomorrow (SUN) is a much different story. increasing Mid LVL flow of 25-35 KT, combined with convergence along the ERN FL sea breeze boundary should provide a focus for convective initiation during the afternoon hours as BLYR destabilization occurs.
Instability should not be lacking either as mixed layer CAPE values approach 1500 J/kg. 700-500mb Lapse rates will increase to between 6.0-7.0 DEG C/km over central FL between 12z and 15z SUN, and then shift SWD across SFL between 15z and 18z.
Heavy rainfall and isolated DMG winds are the main concern for tomorrow.