Possibly interesting scenario setting up.....

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Possibly interesting scenario setting up.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat May 01, 2004 9:09 pm

in the GOM tonight. Might be worth watching the tail end of that huge storm front headed east
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#2 Postby Wnghs2007 » Sat May 01, 2004 9:15 pm

Well it depends on a few variables but...if it sit for a while and the shear is not that great then maybe...but I would have my doubts.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

convection in S Gulf

#3 Postby boca » Sun May 02, 2004 8:08 am

look at all the convection in the Gulf if this was June look out.
0 likes   
Top
Guest

#4 Postby Guest » Sun May 02, 2004 9:11 am

Shear in place across the GOM and W Atln.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html
plus this a barclonic system, and the convection your seeing is related to a cold front. Even though it is possible for tropical development from an area such as this, other parameters need to fall in place.
This is the mess thats suppose to bring rain to Florida Sunday and Monday. Yippeee!!!
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#5 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun May 02, 2004 9:54 am

I agree Bob, on top of all you pointed out is the fact that SST's are still unfavorable in most of the GOM.
0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#6 Postby Wnghs2007 » Sun May 02, 2004 9:58 am

I with both you Dean4storms, and bob on this one...and think the only place a storm might be able to form this year right now...is where Ana formed last year...but probally wont happen so we might be waiting for a while longer.
0 likes   
Top
chadtm80

#7 Postby chadtm80 » Sun May 02, 2004 10:01 am

http://sgiot2.wwb.noaa.gov/data_drive/p ... GM_sst.png

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#8 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun May 02, 2004 11:48 am

Yup, a portion of the Gulf of Mexico is around and at 80°F.

The upper level wind shear could be worse, consider and as "easy" as it's rising, it can fall.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
MortisFL
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 391
Age: 42
Joined: Mon Jul 21, 2003 9:01 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact MortisFL

#9 Postby MortisFL » Sun May 02, 2004 1:47 pm

We need the rain here in FL.
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#10 Postby Rainband » Sun May 02, 2004 1:49 pm

Rain is on the way Mortis. :P
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#11 Postby Wnghs2007 » Sun May 02, 2004 1:59 pm

If this were june or july then I would think that we would have an interestingg situ setting up but this is may and the upper levels are unfavorable and for that matter so are the lower levels....Just wait for june or july though
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: pepecool20, redingtonbeach, RomP, southmdwatcher, wzrgirl1 and 65 guests