This is the 2nd day of the GFS showing this.............

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Dean4Storms
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This is the 2nd day of the GFS showing this.............

#1 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue May 04, 2004 5:45 pm

1008mb low coming up toward south FL. from the Carib. Interesting.

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.mrfnhpcp.html
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 04, 2004 6:29 pm

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/eyw/productview ... =EYWAFDEYW

But the Florida Keys AFD tones down that scenario as no other model does the same and the proper GFS has changed in last run.
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#3 Postby Guest » Tue May 04, 2004 8:48 pm

What we see early in the season, and in May are the models showing a potential system, and then dropping the potetial overtime.
This is where watching for a trend is very important.
Development is unlikely, but we can watch to learn more on how the models will react to low/high pressure forecasts.
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#4 Postby wxman57 » Tue May 04, 2004 8:50 pm

I still don't see it in the 18Z GFS. Just an area of precip:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_144m.gif
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#5 Postby george_r_1961 » Wed May 05, 2004 12:05 am

I dont see anything there that could turn tropical....but I guess one just never knows.
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#6 Postby robag » Wed May 05, 2004 9:11 am

Hoping for some beneficial rain in Key Largo
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#7 Postby Wnghs2007 » Wed May 05, 2004 8:37 pm

So what ever happend to this system thing...did it form into a low or did no low ever form....I know its not supposed to be a TD or TS. I am just asking did a simple low form or was the GFS off...AGAIN!Like in the winter storms.
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