El Nino/La Nina Poll

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply

Which of the following will be the more dominant feature during the peak of Hurricane Season '04

Poll ended at Sat May 22, 2004 1:35 pm

El Nino
3
16%
La Nina
4
21%
Neutral Conditions
12
63%
 
Total votes: 19
Message
Author
Guest

El Nino/La Nina Poll

#1 Postby Guest » Fri May 07, 2004 1:35 pm

Interested in seeing the results & your thoughts are welcome.

Thanks
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146149
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#2 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 07, 2004 1:38 pm

Neutral conditions I voted.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
weatherluvr
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 653
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:25 pm
Location: Long Island NY

#3 Postby weatherluvr » Fri May 07, 2004 1:41 pm

Looks like a La Nada season.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29113
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:
Contact vbhoutex

#4 Postby vbhoutex » Fri May 07, 2004 1:51 pm

Looks very similar to last season or possibly very mild La Nina too late in the season to change anything.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image
Top
Guest

#5 Postby Guest » Fri May 07, 2004 5:09 pm

Neutral seems like a pretty good bet right now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#6 Postby Wnghs2007 » Fri May 07, 2004 5:47 pm

Well I dont want to be the odd man out but I guessed La Nina this year. Even though some of the quadrants are still running warm I do believe they will turn cool by the end of the season.
0 likes   
Top
Opal storm

La Nina

#7 Postby Opal storm » Fri May 07, 2004 6:21 pm

Im going for La Nina 8-)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AussieMark
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5858
Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
Location: near Sydney, Australia

#8 Postby AussieMark » Fri May 07, 2004 7:37 pm

neutral.

But don't be suprised if a La Nina come around.

Remember 1998, when we went from a strong El Nino to a moderate La Nina event.

I don't rule anything out.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:
Contact TexasStooge

#9 Postby TexasStooge » Sat May 08, 2004 1:13 pm

I guessed El Nino, I could be wrong though.
Then again, it could be a La Nina season, the way the weather patterns happen on the Texas coast line.
0 likes   
Weather Enthusiast since 1991.
- Facebook
- Twitter
Top
Guest

#10 Postby Guest » Sat May 08, 2004 1:56 pm

IMO, I dont see an El Nino being a dominant factor during peak season,any El Nino has a long way to go before it can start influencing the weather enough to impact the hurricane season.

With less the a month to go before the start of the '04 season & with about 3 months or so before the peak,even if an El Nino gets started right now,it will not be dominant enough.

A case of too little too late.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#11 Postby Stormsfury » Sat May 08, 2004 2:52 pm

tropicalweatherwatcher wrote:neutral.

But don't be suprised if a La Nina come around.

Remember 1998, when we went from a strong El Nino to a moderate La Nina event.

I don't rule anything out.


That was a very unusual event to see SST's flop that dramatically in such a short timeframe ...

1997 monthly SST anomalies-12 frame JAVA loop

1998 monthly SST anomalies-12 frame JAVA loop
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#12 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat May 08, 2004 4:29 pm

It looks to be neutral.
0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: dl20415, eyesontropics, fllawyer, Google Adsense [Bot], HurricaneBelle, Kingarabian, scotto, Stratton23, TampaWxLurker and 110 guests