First Tropical Weather Outlook for the EPAC....

[Typhoon_Willie]

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 160334
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM PDT SAT MAY 15 2004

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

TODAY IS THE FIRST DAY OF THE 2004 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE
SEASON...WHICH WILL RUN THROUGH NOVEMBER 30TH. LONG-TERM SEASONAL
AVERAGES FOR THE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS AND HURRICANES ARE 15 AND
9...RESPECTIVELY. ON AVERAGE...THE FIRST NAMED STORM OF THE EASTERN
NORTH PACIFIC SEASON FORMS ON JUNE 2ND.

THE FOLLOWING LIST OF NAMES WILL BE USED IN 2004:

NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION
---------------------------------------------------------
AGATHA MADELINE
BLAS NEWTON
CELIA ORLENE OR-LEAN
DARBY PAINE
ESTELLE ROSLYN
FRANK SEYMORE
GEORGETTE TINA
HOWARD VIRGIL
ISIS EYE-SIS WINIFRED
JAVIER HA-VEE-AIR XAVIER ZAY-VIER
KAY YOLANDA YO-LAHN-DA
LESTER ZEKE ZEEK

THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK IS ISSUED FOUR TIMES A DAY...AT 4
AM...10 AM...4PM...AND 10 PM PACIFIC TIME. IT BRIEFLY DESCRIBES
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORMATION.

A SEPARATE PRODUCT...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
STATEMENT...MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE STRONG...FORMATIVE
WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE NOT YET REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION
STATUS. THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT IS ISSUED UNDER
THE WMO HEADER WOPZ41 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAEP.

A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORECAST/ADVISORY...AND THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...IS ISSUED EVERY
SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ARE
ALSO ISSUED FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES THREATENING LAND AREAS. IN
ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO
ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR
WARNINGS.

AN ADDITIONAL PRODUCT...OF WHICH USERS MAY BE LESS FAMILIAR...IS THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF
STATEMENT TO INFORM OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR
TO POST OR CANCEL WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO
PRECEDE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL
CYCLONE UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND
UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ61 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN