Less shear in the 200mb GFS loop

[hurricanetrack]

I thought this was cool and interesting to watch. The 00Z GFS run which I have animated on my site- sorry for the continued plug, but it was something I've wanted to do for two years (animate the NCEP GFS output using their own GIF images)- shows at the 200mb level a nice anticyclone build in over the extreme eastern Caribbean towards the end of the loop. I only run it out to 8 days since anything beyond that is probably poo-poo. Anyhow- it is great to finally see the westerlies retreat northward more.

http://www.hurricanetrack.com/animation ... fs200.html

[Aquawind]

Nice Loop...A sign the upper levels could provide a better enviroment for development..This morning the NWS seems pretty convinced something is going to come together, It may be too far east and bring more dry air into Fla versus rain..we shall see..

[boca]

I hope your wrong , your just as dryin Bonita Springs as I am in Boca Raton.

[Brett Adair]

Could someone post a good still IR image of this disturbance please? I am seeing a bit of a small scale spin offshore and convection is trying to blow up around it this morning. The vortex is trying to become more organized. You guys have a look and tell me what you think. I am using the GHCC satellite program to run loops. Downloads and stores all images into my hard drive.

[Brent]

It's not a closeup, but it is a still image.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... xirg8n.GIF

[boca]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg this is a descent shot

[Brett Adair]

Nice shots guys. Looks to me like things could get interesting down there. I'm going to keep an eye on wind vectors to watch for a closed circulation when she moves over water. Well back to the CONUS severe......later guys.

[Amanzi]

I hope your wrong , your just as dryin Bonita Springs as I am in Boca Raton.

Just have to add that up north here its also very very dry....... crunchy grassville. We need rain BAD!

Whats it like up in Jax HG?

[Rainband]

We had flooding rains in a limited area here on Monday. I was stranded at a friends house..the water in the street was three feet deep The area always floods but I had no idea how bad. there was a dodge caravan creeping up the street and she decided to turn around The funny thing is our rain chance was 20%..seems like we get more when the chances are less ..I guess thats the fickleness of the seabreeze thunderstorms.

[Amanzi]

We had flooding rains in a limited area here on Monday. I was stranded at a friends house..the water in the street was three feet deep The area always floods but I had no idea how bad. there was a dodge caravan creeping up the street and she decided to turn around The funny thing is our rain chance was 20%..seems like we get more when the chances are less ..I guess thats the fickleness of the seabreeze thunderstorms.

I saw that on the doppler John! The storms kind of got pinned in from the seabreeze.. we got Nadda zip zilch I could hear thunder to my west, but the freakin east coast breeze just would'nt let the rain come my way

(sorry about high jacking this thread)