Special statement issued

[hurricanetrack]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 1517.shtml?

Here we go again.

[HURAKAN]

000
WONT41 KNHC 231517
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN MAY 23 2004

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS
ASSOCIATED WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
JAMAICA...EASTERN CUBA...HISPANIOLA...AND PUERTO RICO. HEAVY RAINS
OVER THESE AREAS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME...THE COMBINATION OF THE
CARIBBEAN LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC WILL
PRODUCE WINDS OF 25-30 MPH OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES AND ADJACENT
WATERS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

Sandy DELGADO

[HURAKAN]

According to the NHC, no chance for development at this time.

Sandy DELGADO

[wx247]

Thanks for the post. The link doesn't work, however.

[Guest]

Finally!!!

It should've been issued 20 hours ago.

[cctx]

You might want to try it again wx247. It worked fine for me (and I'm still using the dreaded dial-up!)

[wx247]

You might want to try it again wx247. It worked fine for me (and I'm still using the dreaded dial-up!)

Still doesn't. In fact, I can't access the whole NHC site. Hmmm...

[dixiebreeze]

WOW! Less than an hour ago I predicted the STDS would likely be issued today (on another thread)!

[Guest]

This was expected, being the slim chance of this area developing till after crossing Cuba. The mdels still want to kick up a weak clsoed low as it moves across the Bahama's. Shear seems to be playing it's part so far, lets see if the models are right on building the high across the Eastern Caribbean and SW Atlantic over teh next couple of days.
The NHC forecast maps have a low just off the southern coast of Cuba in about 48 hours, this would be the area to watch.
We'll be watching.

[msbee]

now they tell us
we in the islands could have told them that days ago
link works fine for me, btw

[Josephine96]

Oh well.. if it doesn't develop.. at least June 1st will be here soon enough lol..

Bring on the 2004 season.. I'm hyped and ready to go..

[Guest]

2 STDS in May...

Is this a sign of things to come???

[HURAKAN]

Good question. Time will answer it.

Sandy Delgado

[wx247]

Link now works fine for me, too. Hmmm...

[MGC]

Yep, it is a sign of things to come. The NHC has gone from naming bogus system to issuing STDS on systems that are not going to develope. At least the latest STDS involves a system over water that has a slim chance.....MGC

[Anonymous]

2 STDS in May...

Is this a sign of things to come???

The pattern over the basin during the peak will decide that. Sometimes the pattern can shift within a few months and that changes everything. That is why most experts always say that this type of event is almost irrelevant.

[Anonymous]

Yep, it is a sign of things to come. The NHC has gone from naming bogus system to issuing STDS on systems that are not going to develope. At least the latest STDS involves a system over water that has a slim chance.....MGC

The STDS was never intended for developing tropical systems only.

[wx247]

Jason is right... I think the NHC is justified in its issuance of the STDS.

[Lindaloo]

2 STDS in May...

Is this a sign of things to come???

HOPE SO!