PTCF In Subtropical Atlantic!Shear Rapidly Decreasing.

[Matthew5]

I agree with that Wnghs2007. But why is this not a Invest but the nhc is calling for its development?

[Wnghs2007]

I dont know. Maybe the Navy site has been down of late and they cant get one up. Its site was down last night and I could not get in.

Also Forgot to add. Remember how long it took them to get invest 90L up there. Forever. Like 2 days.

[Typhoon_Willie]

Yes who knows?

[MWatkins]

I agree with that Wnghs2007. But why is this not a Invest but the nhc is calling for its development?

Systems only get tagged as Invests when the TPC/NHC runs the track models and gives a Metwatch status to a system. The whole thing hinges on them initiating the process. They may go ahead and start tomorrow...but they are probably waiting for the system to seperate from land.

MW

[Wnghs2007]

Systems only get tagged as Invests when the TPC/NHC runs the track models and gives a Metwatch status to a system. The whole thing hinges on them initiating the process. They may go ahead and start tomorrow...but they are probably waiting for the system to seperate from land.

MW

Very good point. This system will need to separate from land before anything will happen. But once it does come offshore then it should stall and be in an improving upper level enviroment. Hence why they have started this PTCF alert. Very interesting. Maybe a long night for me.

[HURAKAN]

If this becomes a TD, it will be for sure I bet, #1. What happened in the South Atlantic has nothing to do with the North Atlantic. The NHC has nothing to do with the South Atlantic, they cover from the west coast of Africa to 140W, and northward starting from 5N. We have to remember that the NHC never said a work concerning Hurricane Catarina.

Sandy Delgado

[MWatkins]

If this becomes a TD, it will be for sure I bet, #1. What happened in the South Atlantic has nothing to do with the North Atlantic. The NHC has nothing to do with the South Atlantic, they cover from the west coast of Africa to 140W, and northward starting from 5N. We have to remember that the NHC never said a work concerning Hurricane Catarina.

Sandy Delgado

Since this (a south Atlantic Hurricane) has never happened before there is no clear guide. My guess is that they will tag it as TD01 and use Alex if it gets named. But who knows what they will do. I betca the WMO addresses this next year, though.

MW

[Wnghs2007]

If this becomes a TD, it will be for sure I bet, #1. What happened in the South Atlantic has nothing to do with the North Atlantic. The NHC has nothing to do with the South Atlantic, they cover from the west coast of Africa to 140W, and northward starting from 5N. We have to remember that the NHC never said a work concerning Hurricane Catarina.

Sandy Delgado

Well thank you for correcting me. Now lets see how this goes. Hope fully by this time tomorrow night we will be dealing with TD # 1 !!!!!!!!!!

[MWatkins]

Maybe a long night for me.

Aw...get some sleep. You will need it come August.

MW

[Wnghs2007]

Aw...get some sleep. You will need it come August.

MW

LMAO. Yes I will need it. The only problem is I probally wont be able to get to sleep thinking about this.

[Anonymous]

Shear to continue to decrease becoming favorable in 24-36hours

[ColdFront77]

Sometimes the "decreasing upper level wind shear indicator" reverses to increasing shear. It tends to follow a trend.

I would compare it to the rising and falling pressure... a trend is the direction it has been moving in, which can go rise or fall depending on what pressure system are moving toward and away from you.


This system is something to watch, considering it is late May.

[Wnghs2007]

Shear to continue to decrease becoming favorable in 24-36hours

Yes. the shear is becoming more favorable as we speak. As it emerges from the DR and Hati I expect it will develop into atleast a weak tropical storm.

[ncweatherwizard]

If this becomes a TD, it will be for sure I bet, #1. What happened in the South Atlantic has nothing to do with the North Atlantic. The NHC has nothing to do with the South Atlantic, they cover from the west coast of Africa to 140W, and northward starting from 5N. We have to remember that the NHC never said a work concerning Hurricane Catarina.

Sandy Delgado

Since this (a south Atlantic Hurricane) has never happened before there is no clear guide. My guess is that they will tag it as TD01 and use Alex if it gets named. But who knows what they will do. I betca the WMO addresses this next year, though.

MW

I agree with both of you here, since we are talking about the North Atlantic basin here. But there's no real definition yet, I guess--anyhow--nothing to worry about.