New low -- possible "tropical cyclone" says.....

[dixiebreeze]

NHC Marine last report:

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE MAY 25 2004
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 7N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA
AND GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE MAY 25
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED MAY 26
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU MAY 27

WARNINGS.
.NONE.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.ATLC LOW 22N74W 1009 MB WITH TROUGH TO 25N64W. WITHIN 260 NM N
AND NW OF TROUGH BETWEEN 64W AND 77W WIND NE TO E 20 TO 30 KT
SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 60W TO 64W BETWEEN 15N AND 27N
WIND E TO SE 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. S OF 15N E OF 60W WIND
E TO NE 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. NEW DEVELOPING LOW
27N64W 1013 MB...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WITH TROUGH TO
22N77W. WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WIND 25 TO 30 KT SEAS
8 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WIND 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND NW OF TROUGH WIND NE 20
TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT. S OF 15N E OF 60W WIND E TO NE 20 TO 25
KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 29N62W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E
SEMICIRCLE WIND 25 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 180 NM W
SEMICIRCLE WIND 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. S OF 15N E OF 55W
WIND E TO NE 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

GULF OF MEXICO S OF 25N E OF 85W WIND E 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 25N E OF 85W WIND E 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

REMAINDER FORECAST AREA WIND LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER FT
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER

[FWBHurricane]

Wow thats really interesting...but a with a pressure of 1013mb? That seems kinda high dont you think?

[Wnghs2007]

Well yes but we did have that one storm last year with a pressure of 1016 Mb but it was a storm at the time. So it is not really that unusual. For a Depression.

[dixiebreeze]

It seems so -- but has to start somewhere.

[FWBHurricane]

Well yeah..but im just always used to Storms starting with low pressures...near 1001mb. I always thought if the pressure of a storm was atleast above 1010mb...it couldnt really develop. But i guess im wrong...i learn something new everyday

[MWatkins]

It really depends on the pressure background. Pressure is not absolute...it's relative. At one point in it's lifespan...Andrew was a tropical storm with a minimum pressure of 1017MB (I think...maybe it was 1015...can't remember for sure now)...right before it turned west towards Florida.

MW