The HEAT IS ON

[USAwx1]

According to weathebug, we finally hit 90 today for the first time this year. It was a hot one but the southerly breezes take some of the bite out of it.

Well, as I outlined in my summer outlook, i think MOST of the southeast will see ABOVE to MUCH ABOVE normal temps this summer, so there should be more 90F days where this one came from there in LA.

[ssom04]

I've had 3 or 4 90 plus days already. Our warmest so far was around 95 in late April. But Haven't seen 90s since then.

[Josephine96]

We've had 90's for the last 7-8 days straight

[USAwx1]

I've had 3 or 4 90 plus days already. Our warmest so far was around 95 in late April. But Haven't seen 90s since then.

I'll bet the folks in the south would love to trade LOL. I've been up in this area of the Southeastern Catskills for about a week now and it's absolutely incredible up here wx wise. Couldin't ask for anything better. havent hit 90 either. LOL.

[Stormsfury]

According to weathebug, we finally hit 90 today for the first time this year. It was a hot one but the southerly breezes take some of the bite out of it.

Positioning of the subtropical ridge places LA in southerly flow, and earlier seabreeze front development and movement inland ... which is keeping your region more humid, but holding temperatures down some.

We've had 90's for the last 7-8 days straight

And expect that to continue for the foreseeable future, John.

Same situation occurring here ... that s/w doesn't look to bring CHS/CAE much relief as the SFC boundary layer air probably won't be sufficient enough to do much good.

[USAwx1]

We've had 90's for the last 7-8 days straight

yeah, i know, and i'm not going to re-hash the reasons why since either already in this thread, but look for more 90s again tomorrow across Central FL, INLAND away from the coast.

For example, Deland Will be warmer than Daytona, and Orlando, warmer than Deland. temps will range mainly from the Upper 80s to the mid 90s across the peninsula

[USAwx1]

According to weathebug, we finally hit 90 today for the first time this year. It was a hot one but the southerly breezes take some of the bite out of it.

Positioning of the subtropical ridge places LA in southerly flow, and earlier seabreeze front development and movement inland ... which is keeping your region more humid, but holding temperatures down some.

We've had 90's for the last 7-8 days straight

And expect that to continue for the foreseeable future, John.

Same situation occurring here ... that s/w doesn't look to bring CHS/CAE much relief as the SFC boundary layer air probably won't be sufficient enough to do much good.

Just too dry in the low levels, and w/ the dry ground, i'd be BEGGING for tropical moisture.

[Stormsfury]

I've had 3 or 4 90 plus days already. Our warmest so far was around 95 in late April. But Haven't seen 90s since then.

I'll bet the folks in the south would love to trade LOL. I've been up in this area of the Southeastern Catskills for about a week now and it's absolutely incredible up here wx wise. Couldin't ask for anything better. havent hit 90 either. LOL.

ssom1...I remember that and that weird setup which saw one county in North Dakota that was in the 30's with a tornado watch out (a spread of temperatures 60º from the 90's to the 30's).

USAwx1, some places so far this year have been blessed with picture perfect weather ... the Midwest/Plains, and the Southeast haven't been so lucky for their own reasons ... and pretty much for the time being, what we have is what we'll get for the next several days ...

Hot, very hazy, and not so humid ... I need some storms

[Josephine96]

We need thunderstorms here too

[Stormsfury]

Just too dry in the low levels, and w/ the dry ground, i'd be BEGGING for tropical moisture

or either an earlier than expected or a much stronger than progged seabreeze ... otherwise, a weak tropical storm with copious amounts of moisture would have to do ...

[USAwx1]

I've had 3 or 4 90 plus days already. Our warmest so far was around 95 in late April. But Haven't seen 90s since then.

I'll bet the folks in the south would love to trade LOL. I've been up in this area of the Southeastern Catskills for about a week now and it's absolutely incredible up here wx wise. Couldin't ask for anything better. havent hit 90 either. LOL.

ssom1...I remember that and that weird setup which saw one county in North Dakota that was in the 30's with a tornado watch out (a spread of temperatures 60º from the 90's to the 30's).

USAwx1, some places so far this year have been blessed with picture perfect weather ... the Midwest/Plains, and the Southeast haven't been so lucky for their own reasons ... and pretty much for the time being, what we have is what we'll get for the next several days ...

Hot, very hazy, and not so humid ... I need some storms

ummm, dont remind me, LOL, I DON'T look forward to going back to it.

BTRW here the latest monthly SOIL MOISTURE anomalies and PDSI index:





The figures pretty much speak for themselves.

[USAwx1]

Just too dry in the low levels, and w/ the dry ground, i'd be BEGGING for tropical moisture

or either an earlier than expected or a much stronger than progged seabreeze ... otherwise, a weak tropical storm with copious amounts of moisture would have to do ...

slow mover....preferably

[Stormsfury]

Just too dry in the low levels, and w/ the dry ground, i'd be BEGGING for tropical moisture

or either an earlier than expected or a much stronger than progged seabreeze ... otherwise, a weak tropical storm with copious amounts of moisture would have to do ...

slow mover....preferably

Just not stationary, though ..

[USAwx1]

Just too dry in the low levels, and w/ the dry ground, i'd be BEGGING for tropical moisture

or either an earlier than expected or a much stronger than progged seabreeze ... otherwise, a weak tropical storm with copious amounts of moisture would have to do ...

slow mover....preferably

Just not stationary, though ..

Yeah, we DON'T want a repeat of Allison in 2001.

[USAwx1]

the TWO factors which given the assumed persistence of this current pattern through much of the summer, saving the EUS from really baking underneath EXTREMELY hot temps, and potential drought re-developmet are the currently NEGATIVE EPO and later on as we head toward AUG, the low solar flux should preclude another heat wave like the Northeast saw in LATE AUG 2001.

IF We were dealing the current pattern during a period close to the solar maximum and with the North PAC SSTA set-up clearly favoring a +EPO, the ridge would be MUCH....MUCH stronger and persistent along the east coast/



2004 1141 1070 1120 1012 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999