is S FL still in drought
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- stormchazer
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I'll ship you some of Central FL. We have had several inches in the last two days.
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The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast and my opinion alone. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
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Opinions my own.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Opinions my own.
KAMX NEXRAD is lighting up this afternoon w/ plenty of convection across SE FL.
Precipitable water per 18z RUC analysis is running in the 1.70-2.00" range, w/ SFC dewpoints > 68F, and storm motion generally less than 30 KT all pointing to heavy rainfall potential w/ thunderstorms this afternoon over the SRN portions of the peninsula.
Instability is pretty impressive w/ 19z sounding at MIA showing LI's down to -5.6 and Boundary layer CAPE around 2800 J/kg.
Did also notice a dry nose above 700H which may aid in downburst potential w/ stronger storms, but heavy rainfall should be the biggest threat. generally speaking.
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jlauderdal
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Re: is S FL still in drought
boca wrote:Still no rain in SE FL, will this continue?
The only thing falling from the sky at my house in NE Fort Lauderdale is water from the sprinkler. All bark and no bite this week and I would say if we dont get it today than no chance for another week at least.
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jlauderdal wrote:The only thing falling from the sky at my house in NE Fort Lauderdale is water from the sprinkler. All bark and no bite this week and I would say if we dont get it today than no chance for another week at least.
You and Aquawind are EXCEPTIONS -- check out these radar estimated storm totals from sites across the state:
KAMX
KBYX
KMLB
KJAX:
KTBW:
ALOT of much needed rainfall.
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- HURAKAN
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I live in Miami, Florida near the FIU and I'm still have not seen a drop of rain since the first days of May. I live around 118 AVE and 26 Terrace, the school St. Agatha is around 107 AVE and 8th St. and they yesterday reported 0.67" of rain and I just saw far away moving showers, this is incredible and he drough continues.
Sandy Delgado
Sandy Delgado
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wolffeeder
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USAwx1 wrote:jlauderdal wrote:The only thing falling from the sky at my house in NE Fort Lauderdale is water from the sprinkler. All bark and no bite this week and I would say if we dont get it today than no chance for another week at least.
You and Aquawind are EXCEPTIONS -- check out these radar estimated storm totals from sites across the state:
ALOT of much needed rainfall.
Notice that right along the coast from West Palm to the keys is all light blue, and in the case of my house at least that ment zero rainfall. Four or five million of us are right along that stretch of coast. Yeah, it refills the glades and the ground water, but it still feels like a drought.
Those tunderstorms are so random. Kind of like those pesky hurricanes, always buzzing around but always heading elsewhere. I had a week of daily rain, then I mentioned it here, jinxed myself i guess, and had nothing for two or three weeks. The past few days i have seen lots of storms, heard thunder, felt the cool down drafts from them even, but they didn't make it this far east, or went nort or south of me. So they didn't help my yard one bit. Until early this morning sometime, it rained, finaly. Not a whole lot, but enough I skipped turning on the sprinklers.
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- Ground_Zero_92
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- HURAKAN
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Lindaloo wrote:I know how you feel Hurakan. But, be careful what you wish for. Had to learn that the hard way.
That's true Lindaloo, but a weather system is one of the easiest way to get some rain. Here where I live, in the SW of Miami, the grass looks more dead than alive. Since the first days of May we have not receive the necessary rain to fulfill our necessities. We have a similar situation in 2001 and fortunately we had Tropical Storm Gabrielle, which fulfilled Lake Okeechobee and the water restrictions ended. At this moment we are at the edge to begin again with the water restrictions.
Sandy Delgado
R.I.P. FORMER PRESIDENT RONALD REAGAN
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