Radar---loop it---nice circulation... http://radar.weather.gov/radar/latest/D ... kfws.shtml
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1127
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 PM CDT SUN JUN 06 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN TX AND EXTREME SRN OK
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL
VALID 070417Z - 070545Z
RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NRN TX THROUGH 06Z/07Z...WITH AREA EXPANDING SLOWLY SEWD
DURING THIS PERIOD. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE SPREADING INTO THE AREA
FROM NEAR SEP TO NEAR DAL.
WARM CORE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS EVIDENT IN RADAR IMAGERY ABOUT
40 NNW OF DAL AND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. EVENING SOUNDING AT DFW WAS
VERY MOIST WITH PW VALUES NEAR 1.75 INCHES. LAPSE RATES NEAR 7C/KM
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S WERE RESULTING IN PLENTY OF
INSTABILITY/MLCAPES NEAR 2500 J/KG/CONTINUE TO FEED TO STORMS.
CONVECTIVE BAND FEEDING INTO THIS LOW EXTENDED FROM EAST OF
GAINESVILLE/DENTON SWWD INTO TARRANT AND PARKER COUNTIES. SOME MID
LEVEL DRYING APPEARS TO HAVE WORKED ONTO THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LOW
AND HAD PUSHED CONVECTIVE BAND SEWD AT 10 KT. ALSO... STRENGTHENING
LOW LEVEL JET WILL RESULT IN A SLOW SEWD PROPAGATION. THIS WILL
SPREAD HEAVIEST RAINS SEWD FROM NEAR SEP TO DAL AND THEN NEWD TO SE
OF DUA. SEVERAL HOURS OF PCPN HAS RESULTED IN A COLD POOL TO
DEVELOP...SO ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE/HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE
LEADING EDGE AND WITHIN THE STRONGER CORES.
HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO LIKELY UNDER THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THE
RED RIVER AS CONVERGENCE CONTINUES TO GENERATE NEW STORMS/UPDRAFTS.
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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1030 PM CDT SUN JUN 6 2004
NOW...
A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
NORTH TEXAS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WILL IMPACT THE
REGION FROM ANNA...TO MESQUITE...BURLESON...AND LIPAN. WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH...NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND VIVID CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE LIKELY WITH THIS ACTIVITY...AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS...AND
RATES MAY OCCASIONALLY APPROACH 4 TO 5 INCHES PER HOUR. THIS WILL
CREATE VERY DANGEROUS FLOODING CONDITIONS IN URBAN AND LOW-LYING
AREAS.
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