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Rainband

#21 Postby Rainband » Sat Jun 12, 2004 6:02 pm

wxman57 wrote:Latest high-res visible shows increasing separation between the weak LLC and the convection. Not good for development. For this thing to develop, it needs persistent convection near the center not 100 miles east of the center.
Or form a new one :wink:
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#22 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Jun 12, 2004 6:09 pm

wxman57 wrote:I'm not sure what "cold front" y'all are talking about. There's a front up in Nebraska extending NE through the Great Lakes. That front will have a hard time even making it as far south as Tennessee. It won't come anywhere near the GUlf coast states. Looks like it'll stall out from southern Missouri to Ohio on Sunday/Monday.


Chris, it's the backdoor cold front that came through Charleston, SC just a couple of hours ago ... a "wedge"-like scenario has set up as low clouds have developed behind the front and with a fairly nice fetch of NE winds ... also, the temperature has dropped from a very hot and humid high of 97º, down to a pleasant 82º ...

That backdoor cold front will stall and wash out. Whatever's left of it will return northward on tomorrow afternoon...

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#23 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jun 12, 2004 6:17 pm

Well, that front certainly isn't going to have any effect on the NW Gulf. So it's a non-factor.
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#24 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Jun 12, 2004 6:30 pm

The updated 12z ECMWF is very interesting ... in regards to CLOSING OFF A 500MB low over the Central TX on Day 4 ...

ECMWF Day 3 to Day 7 500mb Loop

The ECMWF appears to bring a weak low over LA on Day 3 ... but hard to tell with these crappy lo-res graphics ...

ECMWF Day 3 to Day 7 850mb/MSLP

More later ...

SF
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#25 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 12, 2004 7:15 pm

FYI the next update or statement from the storm2k forecast center will be tommorow morning at 7:30 AM EDT.
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#26 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:07 pm

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#27 Postby senorpepr » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:12 pm

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