AccuWeather Point Of View

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:

AccuWeather Point Of View

#1 Postby lilbump3000 » Sat Jun 12, 2004 7:54 pm

Image
0 likes   

Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Jun 12, 2004 8:00 pm

So I guess they predict a Louisiana/Mississippi event?
0 likes   

User avatar
Sean in New Orleans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:26 pm
Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
Contact:

#3 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Jun 12, 2004 9:34 pm

Josephine96 wrote:So I guess they predict a Louisiana/Mississippi event?

That's what it looks like, but, the low, to me, is developing further west than they are indicating. And I am hunching pretty good that we'll see a more northerly direction and then maybe a NE turn as it approaches the coast.
0 likes   

User avatar
bevgo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 634
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 12:46 pm
Location: Ocean Springs, MS

Great!

#4 Postby bevgo » Sat Jun 12, 2004 9:52 pm

That is all I need.....a bunch of rain Tuesday and I have to go to work in a flood prone area. Got to be in early, boss just quit, dont know who to call if there is a problem.....GREAT! :roll:
0 likes   

Anonymous

Re: Great!

#5 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jun 12, 2004 9:59 pm

bevgo wrote:That is all I need.....a bunch of rain Tuesday and I have to go to work in a flood prone area. Got to be in early, boss just quit, dont know who to call if there is a problem.....GREAT! :roll:



Cool ! Without the boss, just come in whenever you want :D
0 likes   

ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:26 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:That's what it looks like, but, the low, to me, is developing further west than they are indicating. And I am hunching pretty good that we'll see a more northerly direction and then maybe a NE turn as it approaches the coast.

Most of us here are talking about a developing surface low to the east of the convection, not west.
0 likes   

User avatar
bevgo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 634
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 12:46 pm
Location: Ocean Springs, MS

Yeah Right

#7 Postby bevgo » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:27 pm

I have to be at the hospital at 7:30 AM to make rounds and then go to my office and make phone calls. If I didn't have to make rounds I would be non-essential personel that day but go figure! LOL I do know if there is a hurricane the office will close. That sure beats being the supervisor in a hospital (was a Director of Nurses until recently) At least I don't have to do another 3 day stint at the hospital anymore. I am so glad I changed jobs! No stress and no more hospital hurricane parties! I love having a simpler life and not having to make all the decisions anymore and NO MORE ON-CALL!!!!
:P :) :eek: :D :lol: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
Sean in New Orleans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:26 pm
Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
Contact:

#8 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Jun 12, 2004 10:56 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:
Sean in New Orleans wrote:That's what it looks like, but, the low, to me, is developing further west than they are indicating. And I am hunching pretty good that we'll see a more northerly direction and then maybe a NE turn as it approaches the coast.

Most of us here are talking about a developing surface low to the east of the convection, not west.

I don't think I clearly understand why? It appears to me that the surface low has already formed to the West of the convection... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html Local mets pointed this out this evening, as well on local weather reports.
0 likes   

Anonymous

#9 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jun 12, 2004 11:04 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:
ColdFront77 wrote:
Sean in New Orleans wrote:That's what it looks like, but, the low, to me, is developing further west than they are indicating. And I am hunching pretty good that we'll see a more northerly direction and then maybe a NE turn as it approaches the coast.

Most of us here are talking about a developing surface low to the east of the convection, not west.

I don't think I clearly understand why? It appears to me that the surface low has already formed to the West of the convection... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html Local mets pointed this out this evening, as well on local weather reports.


The LLC to the west is falling apart and is not the central focus. I watched the FOX broadcast and Baskin was was too focused on the LLC because #1 it's falling apart and #2 Most of the convection is east of the center anyway.
0 likes   

Matthew5

#10 Postby Matthew5 » Sat Jun 12, 2004 11:06 pm

Do you think this system is going to make its normal morning blow up of convection?
0 likes   

User avatar
Sean in New Orleans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:26 pm
Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
Contact:

#11 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Jun 12, 2004 11:08 pm

I watched Carl Arredondo on Channel 4 and he pointed out the surface low. I don't usually watch Fox8 too much.
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

Look for this aftre...

#12 Postby Stormcenter » Sat Jun 12, 2004 11:12 pm

Matthew5 wrote:Do you think this system is going to make its normal morning blow up of convection?



Look for this to happen at around 3am tomorrow morning.
0 likes   

Anonymous

#13 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jun 12, 2004 11:16 pm

Matthew5 wrote:Do you think this system is going to make its normal morning blow up of convection?


I wouldn't be surprised....a new LLC and organization is more important. Remember, the timeframe is slowly shrinking.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: sasha_B and 40 guests