Looks like a TD now

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Derek Ortt

Looks like a TD now

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:06 pm

Just looked at some sats and this CLEARLY looks as if it is a 25KT depression. Would be shocked if this is not classified by NHC as such at 5
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Matthew5

#2 Postby Matthew5 » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:07 pm

I agree Derek.
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lilbump3000
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#3 Postby lilbump3000 » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:07 pm

I waiting to see what this shortwave trough is going to do since its suppose to do so much.
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ColdFront77

#4 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:07 pm

Not too surprised, despite TPC use of the word slight not that long ago.

Very interesting, especially coming from you, Derek.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sean in New Orleans
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#5 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:07 pm

I agree...the system is blowing up nicely and quickly this afternoon. We could have a tropical storm by later this evening.
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:09 pm

A tropical storm by evening will be some rapid development. The ongoing discussion from Miami and on the board is for some slow development.
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#7 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:11 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:A tropical storm by evening will be some rapid development. The ongoing discussion from Miami and on the board is for some slow development.

I agree, but, it's got some surprises in for us...it COULD develop very quickly as the day progresses. We'll see. I've just watched these systems blow up so many times over the years... http://www.wunderground.com/global/Regi ... llite.html
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Opal storm

Re: Looks like a TD now

#8 Postby Opal storm » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:16 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:Just looked at some sats and this CLEARLY looks as if it is a 25KT depression. Would be shocked if this is not classified by NHC as such at 5


I don't see anything...nothing organized at least.But it does look like convection is firing up around the LLC,not now but maybe tonight we'll have a td or a ts.Just my thought :wink:
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#9 Postby Bane » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:18 pm

I hope it moves toward the southeast US. We really need the rain.
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Josephine96

#10 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:21 pm

I also hope it moves towards the SE US.. Even we need the rain here too..
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ColdFront77

#11 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:24 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:A tropical storm by evening will be some rapid development. The ongoing discussion from Miami and on the board is for some slow development.

Sean in New Orleans wrote:I agree, but, it's got some surprises in for us...it COULD develop very quickly as the day progresses. We'll see. I've just watched these systems blow up so many times over the years... http://www.wunderground.com/global/Regi ... llite.html

That's true, too. I have notice it happen before, but to this point slight tends to be still the word. We shall certainly see. :)
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#12 Postby wxman57 » Sun Jun 13, 2004 2:26 pm

I'm plotting the recon reports and from what I've seen so far, I'd be very surprised if they call it a TD. Max estimated sfc winds so far are 10 kts with a pressure 1010mb. Looks like they found a broad weak swirl at the surface around 23.4N/94.5W, or about 70nm southwest of the blob of convection in clear air, for the most part. They're not flying up in the area of squalls, however, the plane did estimate south winds at 10 kts in the western part of that blob of thunderstorms near 24N/93W.

Doesn't look like a TD according to the reports. Satellite can be deceiving.
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