Tropical Weather Outlook From NHC

[HURAKAN]

SPECIAL FEATURES...
AT 2100 UTC 1009 MB LOW IS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 24N93W...
PART OF AN ELONGATED TROUGH THAT STRETCHES W TO 24.5N97W AND N
TO 28N92W. THIS LOW HAS GOTTEN BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE DAY
AS THE LOW FROM YESTERDAY HAS WEAKENED. HOWEVER THE CENTER OF
THE NEW LOW IS NOT WELL-DEFINED AND THERE IS LITTLE WIND
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IN ADDITION TO ITS RELATIVE SMALL
SIZE AND ONLY INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. THE UPPER FLOW IS
GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH THE LOW CAUGHT BETWEEN
A WEAKENING UPPER LOW IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...A BUILDING HIGH
OVER THE E GULF OF MEXICO AND A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER TEXAS.
THE SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS. THE WHOLE SYSTEM IS DRIFTING NORTHWARD AND WILL
LIKELY BRING A WET COUPLE OF DAYS TO THE GULF COAST STATES
ESPECIALLY FROM LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS E OF 92.5W N OF 22N WITH THE
HIGH CONCENTRATION OF ACTIVITY WITHIN 75 NM OF 27N89W AND 29N86W
APPROACHING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.