All eyes are at GOM but nice outflow at wave in tropical atl

[cycloneye]

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html

While the attention surely has to be in the GOM it is interesting the look that wave has the same one that a few days ago GFS had moving with a low pressure all the way from Africa to the lesser antilles.I am not saying that it will develop but from my location I will be watching it closely even if it not develop it will bring another round of rains to the islands that this year are in surpluses in terms of rainfall and Puerto Rico is included.

[Aquawind]

Looks healthy and is entering warmer waters..more rain for the islands alrighty..

[Opal storm]

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html

Interesting look to that wave the same one that a few days ago GFS had moving with a low pressure all the way from Africa to the lesser antilles.I am not saying that it will develop but from my location I will be watching it closely even if it not develop it will bring another round of rains to the islands that this year are in surpluses in terms of rainfall and Puerto Rico is included.

This wave probably has a greater chance to develop than those clouds in the Gulf everybody's going crazy about.

[boca]

It would be nice for that wave to make it to SE FL because everyone else is getting rain, SE FL is not.

[Lowpressure]

We are looking cycloneye. Just not real use to looking out there in early June, until the past few years that is.

[cycloneye]

Well last year in june TD#2 formed in the tropical atlantic but yes it is not climo favored area this time of the year but it will encounter warmer waters west of 50w and that could favor some organization but let's not cross the bridge yet.

[abajan]

Interesting that the latest TWO mentions that wave:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml?text

Maybe something to watch down the road.

[Rainband]

Bring it on!!!!!!

[The_Cycloman_PR]

Hello Cyc!

Yes! Nice system you have down there in the Atlantic...I don't expect a big time development for it right now, but it will surely bring a lot of rain for us and the Lesser Antilles during this week. Nice outflow however. When that wave reach the western Caribbean waters or if it reach the GOM then it may have some better conditions for development so it would be wise to keep watching it.

Cycloman.

PD. Cycloneye! Keep waching it because History also write itself everyday and nobody know if when this wave gets close to the islands near 60W's it would try to play fool on us. You know!!!

[cycloneye]

Hi Cycloman!! Yes you are right about history here in the caribbean and after over 30 years watching the tropics I know

[Derek Ortt]

Typically, these systems die once the move to about 45W as they move away from the monsoon trough

[HUC]

DErek,have you beeter info over this moonson through,and it's actual intensity?

[cycloneye]

Wave looks fairly convective this morning and yes good outflow continues.It will be another rainmaker for the islands but I dont expect more than that.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

[Thunder44]

This wave looks like it's being sheared apart. I don't expect develop soon. I'm still more interested in what's in the Gulf.

[bfez1]

Low pressure doesn't develop into depression, but impact seems the same
While the broad area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico did not develop into a tropical depression Sunday afternoon, the impact of the system is expected to be the same, as it moves toward the Louisiana coast over the next 12 to 24 hours.

[Steve H.]

Actually, this wave and associated low pressure area is probably the more interesting feature on the map for areas east of the Mississippi. Morning vis looks decent for the feature, its just the UL winds that have to be considered. Don't know what the shear forecast is for that area, or if there's any UL ridging down there. One might expect some in the wake of the trough to the north. Let's watch! Cheers!!

[senorpepr]

Low pressure doesn't develop into depression, but impact seems the same
While the broad area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico did not develop into a tropical depression Sunday afternoon, the impact of the system is expected to be the same, as it moves toward the Louisiana coast over the next 12 to 24 hours.

Yup... regardless of it's status, this system will definately bring a lot of rain. Its something that must continue to be monitored.

[cycloneye]

Actually, this wave and associated low pressure area is probably the more interesting feature on the map for areas east of the Mississippi. Morning vis looks decent for the feature, its just the UL winds that have to be considered. Don't know what the shear forecast is for that area, or if there's any UL ridging down there. One might expect some in the wake of the trough to the north. Let's watch! Cheers!!

Steve you are talking about the wave east of the islands right?

[The_Cycloman_PR]

Hi Luis!

The wave look's preety good this morning on the sat loop and convection increased and persisted overnight. It has a good outflow and look's very good at this time. Could bring a good amount of rain and rough weather for the islands. At the moment it is the most impresive of both systems we are looking at, and could be something to watch down the road (western Caribbean or the GOM.) I don't think it will fall appart after 45W like someone said. Nice system to watch and talk about.

Cycloman.

[cycloneye]

Hi Luis!

The wave look's preety good this morning on the sat loop and convection increased and persisted overnight. It has a good outflow and look's very good at this time. Could bring a good amount of rain and rough weather for the islands. At the moment it is the most impresive of both systems we are looking at, and could be something to watch down the road (western Caribbean or the GOM.) I don't think it will fall appart after 45W like someone said. Nice system to watch and talk about.

Cycloman.

Yes at least it is something to talk about while we wait for Alex to form.