A few things of note this afternoon. First looking at the Gulf Of Mexico this afternoon shows a broad 1009 mb low pressure system centered over the Gulf Of Mexico about 200 nautical miles south of the Louisiana coast. Movement continues towards the north at 6-12 mph. This will bring the center of this disturbance over the southern Louisiana coast by later tonight into early Tuesday morning. However it's best not to just focus on the center because this storm is lopsided and will be really an issue for areas north and east of the center of circulation.
Could this thing develop??? The possibility is there for a slight development to a depression. However westerly shear is already impacting this system and a shortwave trough approaching from the west will only do further damage with regard to tropical development. A named storm at this point seems very unlikely. Regardless to what occurs though, very heavy rains will occur in already wet grounds across Louisiana and into southern Mississippi also. But a few areas such as Mobile are below average for the year at 5 inches down. Atlanta is almost 10 inches below average for the year in rainfall. This system could offer some benefits with breaking the drought across the southeastern states. However some areas such as Louisiana and southeast Texas have surpluses for the year above 5 inches. The expectation is for 3-6 inches of rain from Louisiana into the Florida Panhandle with lesser amounts in the Florida Peninsula and in Texas. However any sea breeze storm can definitely cause flooding rains such as the case was last night in Duval County, Florida and in Harris County, TX including the greater Houston area.
More updates will be issued as neccessary with this system. There is some other tropical news to talk about though. How about a 1014 mb low east of the Leeward Islands. We got a tropical low pressure system to talk about east of the Leewards and should be monitored over the next several days. Only 3 tropical systems have been known to develop from June 1-10 in this area since records started. Typically this area is not heavily favorable for development in June, but with a system like this, it's worth monitoring.
Then we got a tropical storm in the western Pacific, soon to become a typhoon over the next day as it tracks towards the northwest. This could make some news over Japan in the next week or so. More details on this as we go along. But I'll guarantee you this will approach category 3 strength over the next 3-4 days.
Jim
Update on the gulf of mexico, looks very hostile to me...
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Rainband
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southerngale
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GalvestonDuck
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GalvestonDuck
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Rainband
GalvestonDuck wrote:Besides, you're staying dry over there with the high pressure hovering overhead.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar/images/D ... latest.gif Really
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GalvestonDuck
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Suzi Q
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GalvestonDuck
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Suzi Q wrote:GalvestonDuck wrote:Rainband wrote:GalvestonDuck wrote:Who needs a canoe when you can glide through water like a duck!
One, and I get to pick who.
Oh man, I ain't gonna get picked, I just know it. Must be all that Duck a l'orange I ate the other day.
Yup, I'm not even heading north. Just gonna paddle my little webbed feet in an easterly direction towards the rain.
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GalvestonDuck
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Rainband
LOL for the time being..I am.. the east coast seasbreeze will collide with the west coast breeze over the coastal area of my county. That with the tropical moisture and slow steering should provide me with more much needed rain!!GalvestonDuck wrote:LOL! Okay, should have said "Aren't you staying dry over there...?"
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HurricaneGirl
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