High & Increasing Shear? (useless, pointless thread!!)

[Rainband]

From what I have learned the systems travel the periphery of the high clockwise if the high builds east over florida this in combination with the feature over texas would cause the system to drift west then Northwest.

Correct Johnathan, to a point. It will ride the periphery of the high which is building/ridging in as stated. Also a Shortwave is coming in from the West as depicted in the maps that Tom posted and the brighter colors to the West of the blues and decreasing shear he noted will be coming further East and between that building SWerly shear and the circulation around the high building in the system should make "landfall" somewhere in LA.

Thanks David. I am still "learning" so I appreciate the response Basically it has a clear path cut by the high and the SW trough

[ColdFront77]

No "specific" discussion about the supposed high and increasing shear?

[ColdFront77]

000
FXUS62 KTBW 141812
AFDTBW

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
212 PM EDT MON JUN 14 2004

.SHORT TERM (TNGT-WED)...UPPER LEVEL LOW AND SURFACE REFLECTION OVER
NORTH CENTRAL GULF WILL DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA.

In the last few hours the 'core' of the high moved a bit to the east, indicative and I observe due to the the larger area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico that has actually moved eastward.

[Anonymous]

What's the rotton problem with this thing ?? I heard yesterday or so it was supposed to go North and then NE

This really stinks for the SE. If it moves west it doesn't mean anything here. Rats !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Anonymous]

The shortwave is causing 30 to 40 knots of shear over it. There is hardly anything left of this system besides heavy rain, and half of it is now inland.

[ColdFront77]

Then the maps I posted at the beginning of this thread are wrong...

[Anonymous]

Then the maps I posted at the beginning of this thread are wrong...

Nope...those maps are too far east...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

Conditions can't get much more hostile than this...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[ColdFront77]

I see your point... I have been watching the shear maps since we have been watching this system (and before but not as much, as I am sure is the cast with most of us) and the shear was lower.

Figures this happens to me. You know I know how to read maps. Meteorology and Geography are my favorite things.

As I have said before, I wonder why I post here at times.

[Anonymous]

I see your point... I have been watching the shear maps since we have been watching this system (and before but not as much, as I am sure is the cast with most of us) and the shear was lower.

Figures this happens to me. You know I know how to read maps. Meteorology and Geography are my favorite things.

As I have said before, I wonder why I post here at times.

Hey it's a gradual learning process...this stuff doesn't come overnight.

[ColdFront77]

All kidding aside: Gradual? I am sure I have been interested in meteorology and watching weather system as long as you have.

[Guest]

Ok folks, here is how it works:
Upper level features are affected by upper level features. Upper/Mid Level High nudges Upper Level Low westward, but, we still have a broad area of low pressure at the surface.
This broad low pressure at the surface will move northward, accompanied by rain.