Close but NO Cigar.........

[Dean4Storms]

Kudo's to those who got the forecast right on this Tropical Disturbance, good job. The UL environment and the inability for a surface low to close and deepen was it's demise. But for early June this event came darn close to TC development and maybe a forerunner of a busy season ahead.

[Dean4Storms]

Check this buoy, it came darn close! A 180 wind shift in less than 24 hours.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... tion=42001

[Dan]

even without tropical cycclone development, all in all this is good for those in the southeast. Cities like Atlanta and Charlotte are going to take a decent chunk off their rainfall deficits over the next 24 to 36 hours. The heaviest and more widespread rains for areas of GA and the Carolinas will probably come tomorrow.

Charlotte is getting a healthy dose of rain as we speak, and it won't be too long until Atlanta gets hit, coming from the south.

[Rainband]

Great news for those areas needing rain. We got 5 inches in about 1.5 hours. Love that tropical moisture!!

[Dean4Storms]

Believe it or not I've only gotten 1.22" since midnight here in Destin. The rain comes through fairly quickly. We did get a half inch yesterday evening with this event as well.

[Anonymous]

My gauge has only picked up 1.20" since the rain started last night. We're still getting a lot of breaks. I don't think the flood threat will be as significant as originally forecasted, at least for the Gulf Coast. But as long as there is a train of moisture still coming out of the GOM, the heavy rains will have to continue to be watched.

Edit: rain totals won't be as high but there will still be flooding in some areas.

[Rainband]

These slow moving storms really help make the rain guage rise!!

536 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2004

The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued an

Urban and small stream flood advisory for...

western Pasco County in Florida.
This includes New Port Richey...Port Richey...Hudson...Jasmine
estates.

...Until 630 PM EDT.

At 536 PM EDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated
rainfall rates of three inches per hour.

As of 536 PM EDT...several weather spotters had reported heavy
rain...with totals between 3 and 4 inches...over the affected area.

Flooding of intersections and low lying roads is likely occurring.
Motorists should allow extra time for their commute...but remember to
not drive through flooded areas.

Keep children and pets away from rising streams! They may become
caught in turbulent Rushing waters...and could drown.

Don't become a statistic. Turn around...don't drown!


Expires:142230 gmt

[Dean4Storms]

My Weather Station for any who are interested..........

http://www.integritypainting.net/Curren ... ge_Pro.htm

[SacrydDreamz]

This is VERY good for those who need the rain. I am surprised that so many people believed this could have been something more. I thought it was fairly clear that this had little chance to develop. Glad we didn't repeat the naming of phantom storms/depressions like last year...

[Rainband]

My Weather Station for any who are interested..........

http://www.integritypainting.net/Curren ... ge_Pro.htm

I want to get one of those

[dixiebreeze]

Rainband, Citrus County is also under a flood watch, etc. until 9:30 p.m. Nice, nice rains here.

BTW, will the new newsletter be posted early Tues.?

[Stephanie]

Good point Dan.

Hopefully it isn't a case of too much too soon. At any rate, a tropical disturbance of any kind always puts a big dent in a drought.

[PTPatrick]

I dont think many people thought this thing would develop...I think the line is drawn between those that thought it had potential and those that didnt. Nobody ever said it was going to be Lily or Opal...I think most of the pro-development camps was basically saying it could get named...and the fact is...we have seen similar systems get TD status, and even named. So I thinking some the "I told you so's" are kind of uncalled for. Bickering about whether this would get named or not is rather a waste of energy, because ultimately what we are talking about is rain and severe weather. I will admit those that are holding on to it, are probably in denial, but hey, opinions are like aholes right? Let them endulge in there fantasy of a named 40 mph storm...not hurting anybody as long as they arent spouting about how it could be a hurricane, would would clearly be spreading the wrong message to the less educated folk that might read this board.

[HURAKAN]

My Weather Station for any who are interested..........

http://www.integritypainting.net/Curren ... ge_Pro.htm

I would love to have one of those

[Lindaloo]

I thought there was some excellent analysis by all the Pro Mets and some great discussions by all amateurs too. With the exception of a few, there have been great posts by all members. All in all it was fun this week with THING 1.

[Janie34]

All in all it was fun this week with THING 1.

Coming soon to a video store near you: Fun With Thing 1!! Available on VHS and DVD. Starring David Carradine as the embattled forecaster.

[Opal storm]

I got barely an inch here in Pensacola beach...and the yucatan got 10 inches...what happened? I get 1 stupid inch and they get 10 inches...no fair...I want my money back

Just joking It was a nice soaking,we needed it

[Lindaloo]

Coming soon to a video store near you: Fun With Thing 1!! Available on VHS and DVD. Starring David Carradine as the embattled forecaster.

[Dan]

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/latest/D ... kgsp.shtml

here is the doppler radar estimates for the western carolinas. these estimates go back to saturday's action, but for sure some areas have gotten some benefical rainfall. after tomorrow, the estimates should higher over a larger coverage area.

[Rieyeuxs]

I now know why rainfall is estimated in percentages... With 4-5 days straight of 40-50% chances of rain, I haven't even seen a drop here in Charleston. Some of the inland lakes are really DRY... I'd love for that storm to take a harder U-turn. It looks like I'll have to wait a few months for my shot at a "thing"