First tropical model plots for 95L

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cycloneye
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First tropical model plots for 95L

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 05, 2004 8:14 pm

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/04070601

Let's see what happens with the wave in comming days if it persists thru the journey of hurdles in the Atlantic.
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#2 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Jul 05, 2004 8:18 pm

If these models hold true about this system it seems we might have a tropical depression in atleast 12 to 24 hours as it has the winds 29-34knots. Which is basicly 30-40mph.
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Matthew5

#3 Postby Matthew5 » Mon Jul 05, 2004 8:20 pm

Cycloneye take a look at the latest Ir! It shows that the center is moving under/Or developing covnection over it. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

Also take a look at this http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
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#4 Postby wx247 » Mon Jul 05, 2004 8:27 pm

Here we go... something to follow. :)
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Matthew5

#5 Postby Matthew5 » Mon Jul 05, 2004 8:34 pm

This shows that the area this is moving into is becoming more favable. http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... m7sht.html
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#6 Postby Colleen A. » Mon Jul 05, 2004 8:45 pm

Hey guys! I recognize a lot of you from CFHC. :lol:

That wave is very interesting to look at this early in the year. I keep thinking back to every season in the past and just when I thought I couldn't take another loop of empty ocean, a storm would pop up out of nowhere. I wonder if this one will be a rogue storm? :eek: Anyway, no matter what happens, it will at least give us something to watch, no? :wink:

Good to see all!
Colleen
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#7 Postby MWatkins » Mon Jul 05, 2004 9:10 pm

One minor thing...remember that SHIPS only has systems that developed to a TS or better in the Database...so it will tend to overestimate intensity in borderline situations with weak or poorly defined systems.

But still...looks interesting tonight...need more deep reds to develop though.

MW
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#8 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jul 05, 2004 9:17 pm

Matthew5 wrote:Cycloneye take a look at the latest Ir! It shows that the center is moving under/Or developing covnection over it. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

Also take a look at this http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi


The center is north of the convection, up around 10.5 to 11N. Beware IR satellite imagery for placing the center on developing systems.
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