2nd AFR wave map

[Scott_inVA]

This is *not* Invest95L. Did a quick map printing out the GFS (labeled AVN) on the wave behind 95L...currently in the ITCZ just rolling off Africa.

Just 1 model is all over this honking in a Big Way (surprise as Derek noted in another post...it's the GFS ) so won't publish on the web site but just post the link here:

http://www.wrel.com/wx/wrelmodelmap.jpg

I don't put maps on the site until there is, at a minimum, an Invest so nothing will be there until such time.

Thanks

Scott

[Wnghs2007]

Thanks for the map. WOW that is pretty nice. But it is still the GFS.

[MWatkins]

But it is still the GFS.

We all speak of the GFS like a girl/boy friend who has jilted us...with good reason.

Great great quote, Wnghs2007.

NW

[MWatkins]

However...in all seriousness...the 0Z GFS is showing a fairly significant cyclone approaching the islands in a week or so...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... v_144m.gif

Still need to wait to see if some of the other models pick up on it...but the GFS has been consistent for at least 5 runs now....

MW

[Dean4Storms]

What does anyone make of the low to mid-level circulation seen especially on IR from the complex yesterday that was near 10n 20w and is now situated near 8n 27w? You will not find it mentioned by TPC as a wave but is there nonetheless!

You can see it here... Meteosat 7 Click on IR box!

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... pical.html

[Anonymous]

What does anyone make of the low to mid-level circulation seen especially on IR from the complex yesterday that was near 10n 20w and is now situated near 8n 27w? You will not find it mentioned by TPC as a wave but is there nonetheless!

You can see it here... Meteosat 7 Click on IR box!

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... pical.html

I believe that is mentioned by the TPC....

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS REMAINS
MINIMAL. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD ABOUT 25 MPH.

ATLC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 37W/38W SOUTH OF 17N RACING WEST
20-25 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 30W AND 34W. LARGE AREA
OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS ARE FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN
30W AND 47W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
COVER THE WATERS FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 28W AND 40W.
A POSSIBLE LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR
16N38W. THIS WAVE IS MOVING TOWARD...BUT STILL NOT QUITE
REACHING... AN AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR.