7 days GFS and Island trouble

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Vortex
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7 days GFS and Island trouble

#1 Postby Vortex » Wed Jul 07, 2004 1:11 pm

Of course for entertainment purposes right now 7 days out looks very very interesting....


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_192l.gif
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and imagine this

#2 Postby Vortex » Wed Jul 07, 2004 1:17 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_252l.gif
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and finally..

#3 Postby Vortex » Wed Jul 07, 2004 1:20 pm

Major rains for S Fl if this ever verified...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_264l.gif
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Rainband

#4 Postby Rainband » Wed Jul 07, 2004 1:41 pm

If that was any other model I would be concerned :lol: But it's the GFS :wink:
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probably will peter out, though

#5 Postby Weatherboy1 » Wed Jul 07, 2004 1:59 pm

You can't completely ignore the models, of course -- especially when they show a potentially nasty looking blob of weather coming your way in several days (as the GFS does here for us South Floridians). But to me, this wave looks a lot like one we saw last year, if memory serves me right. It was very well defined when it moved off Africa, had a decent amount of convection, etc. Then, it started weakening as it encountered dry air and within 36 hours, it lost its strong satellite signature and just completely faded away. Unless some real convection spins up with this one, I imagine it will suffer the same fate. But I guess time will tell! Thanks for the links.

-Mike
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 07, 2004 3:00 pm

We could use some water here in SE Florida, the environment continues to be very dry, except for the Everglades and SW Florida
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#7 Postby The Dark Knight » Wed Jul 07, 2004 3:48 pm

Hummmmmmm................ Muy interesting......
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Derek Ortt

#8 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jul 07, 2004 8:29 pm

Its the GFS. Of course it wont form
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Matthew5

#9 Postby Matthew5 » Thu Jul 08, 2004 1:07 am

The Gfs is worthless! I wish they would just trash the model. :grr:
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