Wave around 60

[jabber]

Looks like the convection has held all night. Once past the islands it looks like shear will not be an issue.....Will something come of our little African wave?

[Aquawind]

As Dry and Sheared as things have been for this wave. I am impressed it has kept it's identity! No doubt it can develop..conditions can change rather quickly and it still has alot of warm water ahead.

[Weatherboy1]

All along, this wave has had trouble building convection. What convection there was seemed to be well-displaced to the NE of the "center." But now, we're getting somewhere. Even though some of this is just interaction with the ULL, I believe we MIGHT be seeing the first signs of real home-grown storminess, so to speak. This thing won't develop into anything substantial while it's doing battle with that ULL. But if the wave gets about 5 more degress to the NW in one piece, it'll be in a much better environment. That said, it may never bother the US if my reading of the local NWS discussion is correct. It talks about a trof building all the way down into the SE and giving us S or SW winds here in SE FL. That would suggest to me that the US's defensive wall will be in place again. Also, right now, the steering maps show a weakness in the ridge to this wave's NW. So it could just escape and head harmlessly out to see.

Weak system steering currents:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

Slightly stronger system steering currents:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm4.html

[vbhoutex]

Actually most of the convection associated with this wave is to its' West right now. It is still going to have a tough time getting more than the normal showers and storms associated with a passing tropical wave going at least for the near future. TUTT and SWerly shyear are still a factor.