Circulation south of Cape Verde islands

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cycloneye
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Circulation south of Cape Verde islands

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 11, 2004 7:29 pm

http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/pdus/AI/200 ... 0AI1_g.jpg

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

Void of deep convection because of the very dry air to the north of the ITCZ axis but if my eyes are good I can see some circulation albeit weak at the surface or a mid-level one.The waves that haved moved into the atlantic for the most part poofed with the exception of ex95L which still is hanging around in the eastern caribbean.By the way a good impulse about to emerge west africa but as it splashes into the water the same fate will happen.However when august rolls in we can expect an increase in activity as conditions will be much better for developments and the gates of the Cape Verde season will be open.The quickscat is inconclusive because it is contaminated at that area but it would be nice to see that data.

http://orbit212.wwb.noaa.gov/dataimages ... MBds32.png
Last edited by cycloneye on Sun Jul 11, 2004 8:40 pm, edited 5 times in total.
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#2 Postby chadtm80 » Sun Jul 11, 2004 7:43 pm

Yes Luis, Clearly visable here http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... oat_0.html

Wont last long though
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#3 Postby Aquawind » Sun Jul 11, 2004 7:47 pm

No doubt..Your eyes are highly functional.. 8-)
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#4 Postby MWatkins » Sun Jul 11, 2004 8:24 pm

Good eyes. Luis. Looking back at the qscat imagery from overnight...there is a small swirl right where this system was 14 hours ago.

Well...I guess it's more of a ripple than a swirl...but it's far from a straight line in the imagery:

http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/dataimages21 ... MBds32.png

Nice catch.

MW
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 11, 2004 8:45 pm

MWatkins wrote:Good eyes. Luis. Looking back at the qscat imagery from overnight...there is a small swirl right where this system was 14 hours ago.

Well...I guess it's more of a ripple than a swirl...but it's far from a straight line in the imagery:

http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/dataimages21 ... MBds32.png

Nice catch.

MW


Now let's see if other global models other than ukmet jump on it.
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#6 Postby Steve H. » Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:10 pm

Luis, do you have a link to the UKMET in the tropical Atlantic???
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#7 Postby chadtm80 » Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm

Steve H. wrote:Luis, do you have a link to the UKMET in the tropical Atlantic???


http://www.storm2k.org/weather/tropical%20models.html
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#8 Postby Steve H. » Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:18 pm

Thanks Chad!
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#9 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon Jul 12, 2004 1:28 am

Just checked WV; theres still a lot of dry air getting sucked into this system so development isnt likely in the short term. Condtions MAY be marginally better as the wave treaks to the west but even then development would be slow.
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#10 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 12, 2004 6:24 am

From the 8:05 AM discussion:

MID LEVEL LOW IS FORMING NEAR 9N-20W AND COULD BE ASSOCIATED TO A DEVELOPING TROPICAL WAVE.
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#11 Postby Steve H. » Mon Jul 12, 2004 11:06 am

Check the latest quikscat, ascending pass Luis.....looks pretty decent.
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 12, 2004 11:14 am

http://orbit212.wwb.noaa.gov/dataimages ... MBas32.png

Some turning in the barbs but some of those are fairly strong 25-35kts.
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#13 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 12, 2004 5:17 pm

Somewhat elongated it appears the weak circulation as the barbs show on quickscat but at least it it hanging on since yesterday morning so let's watch it.
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