From the looks of the most recent surface map the Azores High is fairly strong at 1030 mil. Note how it is depressing the ITCZ well to the south.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_12Z.gif
Azores High
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That is one of the factors the ITCZ is not too active as it normally is at this time of the year being almost mid july and the other factor is the dry air supressing convection.Also surface pressures are somewhat above normal in the tropical atlantic.
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Anonymous
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shear = gone
One thing worth pointing out: The Azores high is somewhat strong and causing a dry air outbreak in the Atlantic. BUT, when you couple that surface high with anticylconic upper level air flow, you get a zero- or close-to-zero shear environment. And lo and behold, shear has evaporated through most of the tropical Atlantic:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
This could be VERY significant. If the atmosphere moistens up and you get a strong wave or two in the Atlantic, there may be nothing to prevent significant development from occurring. We'll see what the environment looks like in 3 or 4 weeks. If it's the same as now, you could see a couple of major CV-type canes.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
This could be VERY significant. If the atmosphere moistens up and you get a strong wave or two in the Atlantic, there may be nothing to prevent significant development from occurring. We'll see what the environment looks like in 3 or 4 weeks. If it's the same as now, you could see a couple of major CV-type canes.
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