¡¿Surprising 98W?!

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HURAKAN
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¡¿Surprising 98W?!

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 12, 2004 6:47 pm

Although the system is not looking extremely impressive in satellite it looks to have a low-level low pressure which seems to be partially exposed. Dvorak qualifies the system as T2.0/2.0, which is a pretty strong TD. We may have a tropical system in the next few days in the WPAC. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center says:
"ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND ASSOCIATED WEAK CYCLING CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.9N9 133.9E6, NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.1N3 131.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR."

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#2 Postby The Dark Knight » Mon Jul 12, 2004 6:53 pm

Hmmmmm... well some bigger action in the west pacific......
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#3 Postby The Dark Knight » Mon Jul 12, 2004 7:06 pm

Nice form.....Wow!!!!
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#4 Postby jabber » Mon Jul 12, 2004 7:15 pm

1st naked swirl of the season... at least its not in the Atlantic..... I hate naked swirls
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#5 Postby The Dark Knight » Mon Jul 12, 2004 7:29 pm

Ya because naked swirls with convection 2 tha left quadrent of the system usually means that they have dry air eating them away......
Right????
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 12, 2004 10:57 pm

UPDATE ON 98W LOOKING MORE & MORE LIKE TD 12W

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#7 Postby senorpepr » Mon Jul 12, 2004 10:58 pm

This could be interesting for Taipei and/or Shanghai
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#8 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jul 12, 2004 11:08 pm

senorpepr wrote:This could be interesting for Taipei and/or Shanghai


This could directly affect Taiwan and China, places that don't need a single drop of rain, but that's nature. Interesting to note is that the system looks beautiful southward, but horrendous northward, let see if it southern section allows it to develop or things may change in its northern section.
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