This is incredible- from the 8:05 TWD:
TROPICAL ATLC...
A MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS POSITIONED WELL N OF THE AREA WITH
DEEP ELY FLOW AND GENERALLY LOW SHEAR VALUES OVER MUCH OF THE
TROPICAL ATLC WATERS. HOWEVER...VERY DRY/STABLE AIR IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A SAHARAN AIR LAYER CONTINUE TO RESTRICT TSTM
ACTIVITY. THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT PERTURBATION IS A WEAK INVERTED
UPPER TROUGH NOTED ALONG 35W. PRESSURES IN THE DEEP TROPICS ARE
BELOW AVERAGE WITH WEAKER TRADES THAN AVERAGE AS WELL.
Read that last part. That is exactly what we are looking for in terms of an active season. Now, if the SAL will just ease up a little- or a lot, either way! I guess once we get into August and things moisten up more- that we'll be very busy.
Great TWD from Eric Blake.
Dry air is perhaps the only reason....
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That's funny. I posted that same discussion by the NHC last night around 8 on the flhurricane site and it was never posted. I think that site has problems. Anyways the SAL seems like the only - influence right now. Can't last forever..... 
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