LOW OFF AFRICA

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stormernie

LOW OFF AFRICA

#1 Postby stormernie » Thu Jul 15, 2004 9:41 am

Hi everyone - great to be back !!!!

Just a quick observation it seems that in reviewing this morning satellite loop off Africa we may have a mid to low level circulation at approx 10N 20W. Even more interesting is the fact that there is a good outflow (high pressure aloft) and thunderstorm activity is increasing on the northern flank.

We'll see how the day develops and what the NHC has to say...

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/252.jpg

Comments Welcome as always...
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Hyperstorm
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#2 Postby Hyperstorm » Thu Jul 15, 2004 9:58 am

Hi, stormernie! Glad to see you're back.

I noticed the same thing about that tropical "low" this morning. It looks like the previous tropical wave moistened up the area and is serving as a blocking guard for this next system. Like you said, thunderstorm development over water is a good sign. I'm not quite optimistic yet, as we still have marginal SSTs in the area, but we do have below normal sea-level pressures and dry air is not as huge of a factor now in the E. Atlantic.

2 more weeks and we'll be watching almost every single wave in the E. Atlantic for good chances of developing...
Last edited by Hyperstorm on Thu Jul 15, 2004 9:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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The Dark Knight
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#3 Postby The Dark Knight » Thu Jul 15, 2004 9:59 am

Good observation, stormernie!!!!! We'll find out the fate of this one soon enough......!!!!!
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Opal storm

#4 Postby Opal storm » Thu Jul 15, 2004 11:08 am

Those waves look great when they come off the coast but the more they move out to sea the more they start to fizzle out.Most of the time they have a better chance to develop once they enter the Caribbean...if they make it to the Caribbean.
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#5 Postby Derecho » Thu Jul 15, 2004 11:16 am

Interesting thing about this one is despite its appearence it basically didn't lower pressures in Senegal much at all, or offshore....not at the surface at all yet.
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