Miami NWS seeing GOM development?

[rainydaze]

From Miami NWS: Saturday

.....THE EXTENDED PERIOD WOULD BE A PROBLEM FORECAST IF THE BOUNDARY AND
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION GET LEFT BEHIND BY THE TROUGH AND SIT OVER
VERY WARM GULF WATER FOR DAYS. SOMETIMES SUCH SCENARIOS CAN LEAD TO
UNEXPECTED DEVELOPMENT.



From Miami NWS: Sunday

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...GFS SHOWS THE TROUGH FINALLY LIFTING OUT
LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT LEAVING A CUTOFF LOW BEHIND FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.................. IF THE CUTOFF IS OUT OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND IT
STAYS AROUND FOR A FEW DAYS IT BEARS CLOSE WATCHING.


Anyone have thoughts on this?

[george_r_1961]

Its not uncommon at all for tropical systems to spin up along the tail of an old frontal boundary. Cut off lows..lows that form along a trough and then get separated, or "cut off" from the parent trough, can and do assume tropical features under the right conditions. The GOM is becoming more favorable so I would watch this area

[Aquawind]

They need to get that Miami radar fixed for good..geesh it has been unreliable lately..

GOM is always something to watch when the SSTs are near boiling..

[BayouVenteux]

The New Orleans/Baton Rouge NWS Office agrees that, while not an imminent threat, it and whatever comes down with the next forecasted "front" later in the week...2 fronts 2 weeks in a row in mid-to-late July is almost as common as snow in January here ...will need to be monitored for signs of development.

...THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH IS NOW SLOWING IN THE NORTHERN GULF. AS USUAL...WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE TAIL END OF THIS AND THE NEXT FRONT THAT MOVES INTO THE GULF ESPECIALLY DURING THIS TIME OF YEAR. FRONTAL SYSTEMS CAN BECOME MORE BAROTROPIC IN NATURE OVER A PERIOD OF TIME AS THEY FESTER IN THE MID 80 DEGREE GULF
WATER TEMPS.