98L invest for area NE of Bahamas

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 7:52 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Let's see if it turns into a pure tropical entity.

lilbump3000 · #2 Postby **lilbump3000** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 7:56 pm

This one not going to do nothing just like the other ones. I dont know why they waste they time throwing out all these invest. Only like 2 systems this year was worth being invest area.

caneman · #3 Postby **caneman** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 7:59 pm

They'll stop popping soon enough. This area is a hot spot. Luis - what are the coordinates on this LLC roughly?

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 8:00 pm

29.3n-72.6w 1010 mbs

#5 Postby **ncweatherwizard** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 8:30 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:This one not going to do nothing just like the other ones. I dont know why they waste they time throwing out all these invest. Only like 2 systems this year was worth being invest area.

Well don't forget that most people don't even know what an invest is (let alone a hurricane). :roll:

After all an invest only signifies the possibility of some entity--doesn't have to be a great one, so it's not really wasting time.

#6 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 8:31 pm

Right NC invests are up for any suspicious areas that may pop up.

rainstorm · #7 Postby **rainstorm** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 8:47 pm

i think this has a real chance. conditions should become favorable

Stormchaser16 · #8 Postby **Stormchaser16** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 8:50 pm

Is this coordinated with that ULL north of PR, did it come down to the surface or something?

Or is this something totally diff.?

Josephine96 · #9 Postby **Josephine96** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 8:51 pm

Hope something forms soon.. We could use some tropical activities..

Stormchaser16 · #10 Postby **Stormchaser16** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 8:58 pm

Not quite sure why this invest would be a waste...... its an area of interest and its suspicious, moreso there is an LLC so why not have an invest? Having an invest is not guarenteeing it will develop or become anything at all.... just a possibility, this time of year anything with an LLC and this convective should IMO be taken into consideration for development, hence the Invest..... no waste here

Anonymous · #11 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:06 pm

I think it may develop.....into a Nor'easter :lol:

But at least it shows that we are getting close to the time of year the tropics should be monitored. As soon as Invest 97L goes poopie, attention turns to 98L.

Aquawind · #12 Postby **Aquawind** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:06 pm

It still spins albeit naked..zoom at the 30N 70W point...98L is clearly still a vigourus little spin..becoming more visable with IR2 now that the sun is down. 8-)

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

bahamaswx · #13 Postby **bahamaswx** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:11 pm

I doubt any convection will ever manage to fire over that circulation. A new one will likely have to form under the bulk of the convection.

NJCane · #14 Postby **NJCane** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:14 pm

Jekyhe32210 wrote:I think it may develop.....into a Nor'easter But at least it shows that we are getting close to the time of year the tropics should be monitored. As soon as Invest 97L goes poopie, attention turns to 98L.

I thought this area was just supposed to sit and drift for a while. When is it supposed to head north up the coast? The longer it sits, the better chance to develop...

Derek Ortt · #15 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:30 pm

This is at least a closed LLC. Much better potential than some of the others

kevin · #16 Postby **kevin** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:32 pm

This has more chance of development than 97 did except when 97 was looking its absolute best.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 400 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS IS NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS SYSTEM CURRENTLY DOES
NOT HAVE TROPICAL CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS...BUT WILL BE MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.<<

Things to consider:
(1) It has a LLC so it is already more organized.
(2) Its not moving so it can take its time to develop.

Aquawind · #17 Postby **Aquawind** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:32 pm

98L is gonna have a hard time getting dressed anytime soon..

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

kevin · #18 Postby **kevin** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:33 pm

Sorry Derek, didn't see your post first.

Anonymous · #19 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:42 pm

NJCane wrote:
Jekyhe32210 wrote:I think it may develop.....into a Nor'easter But at least it shows that we are getting close to the time of year the tropics should be monitored. As soon as Invest 97L goes poopie, attention turns to 98L.

I thought this area was just supposed to sit and drift for a while. When is it supposed to head north up the coast? The longer it sits, the better chance to develop...

The models... Especially 18z AVN show very weak low pressure and it is intermittently shown in the loop moving from north of the Bahamas to east of New England. 12z Ukmet show lower pressure till deeper lower pressure forms along the S Carolina coast ant moves northest... heres the link look at both SLP and 925/950 Vort loops

bahamaswx · #20 Postby **bahamaswx** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 9:55 pm

Aquawind wrote:98L is gonna have a hard time getting dressed anytime soon..

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

Shear along the coast and N. of PR will be substantially less in 24-36hrs.

98L invest for area NE of Bahamas

98L invest for area NE of Bahamas

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