New Potential!

caneman · #1 Postby **caneman** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 4:27 pm

000
ABNT20 KNHC 222116
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS/TPC NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED
ALONG AN OLD FRONTAL SYSTEM ABOUT 400 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS. THIS SYSTEM CURRENTLY DOES NOT HAVE TROPICAL
CYCLONE CHARACTERISTICS...BUT WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

Aquawind · #2 Postby **Aquawind** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 4:30 pm

Well the models have hinted at something off the east coast..Alrighty I guess I get to take it through the hyperlink runaround doublecheck process and see whats going on over there.. :lol:

Dohh Bingo..first zoom visable..nice swirlage..naked..west of the cirrus.. ~29.5N73W

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

#3 Postby **MWatkins** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 4:37 pm

Aquawind wrote:Well the models have hinted at something off the east coast..Alrighty I guess I get to take it through the hyperlink runaround doublecheck process and see whats going on over there..

Dohh Bingo..first zoom visable..nice swirlage..naked kinda though..west of the cirrus

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Yep...right at 29.5 73.0...can see it plain as day now that you pointed it out. Good eyes, Aqua.

MW

GalvestonDuck · #4 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 4:39 pm

Cool! Nice description to help us amateurs find it, Paul! I zoomed in and animated the map and found it at about 30N 73W.

Interesting!

Aquawind · #5 Postby **Aquawind** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 4:39 pm

More like lucky click..on the first attempt.. :lol:

I think it's fading because the sun angle..pretty vigourus spin..clearly at the surface..

Funky I musta been editing when you were posting Mike..Boy I do feel good now..got the same location as you..

Your welcome Duck

GalvestonDuck · #6 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 4:41 pm

Er...well, yeah...what Mike said.

But I swear, I was typing and checking Lat/Long at the same time. I didn't peek.

caneman · #7 Postby **caneman** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 4:43 pm

From the Melbourne discussion. I'm assuming this related. Pretty interesting to say the least.

FRI-SUN...
WX PATTERN REMAINS ON TRACK FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CUTOFF LOW
ALONG THE MID ATLC COAST BY 12Z SAT. STRONG H25 JET BRANCH OVER THE
UPPER MID WEST WILL PUSH EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS JET WILL
TIGHTEN THE WIND/PRESSURE FIELD ON THE WEST SIDE OF A HI AMPLITUDE
H50-H25 TROF JUST OFF THE ERN SEABOARD. THE RESULTING INCREASE IN
UPR LVL DIVERGENCE OVER THE EAST COAST WILL SPIN UP A WEAK CLOSED
LOW OUT OF A THE SRN EXTENSION OF A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM OVER ERN
CANADA AND THE GREAT LAKES.

THE NEW LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TRAPPED OVER THE SE U.S. THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THE ATLC RIDGE WILL BLOCK THE LOW FROM MOVING E...
WHILE A STRONG CONTINENTAL RIDGE OVER WRN CANADA WILL PUSH ACROSS
THE NRN TIER STATES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG H85-H30 ZONAL
FLOW. THE CONTINENTAL RIDGE WILL BLOCK THE LOW FROM ESCAPING TO THE
NORTH...AND MAY EVEN CAUSE IT TO RETROGRADE INTO THE GULF STATES.
RESULTING SFC AND STEERING FLOW WILL VEER FROM THE N/NE ON FRI TO
THE S/SW ON SUN. MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS THE WIND SHIFT
TAKES PLACE. AS THE WX PATTERN SHIFTS FROM LOW MOISTURE/NRLY FLOW
TO MODERATE MOISTURE/SWRLY FLOW...DIURNAL POPS WILL INCREASE FROM
10-30% ON FRI TO 50% AREAWIDE ON SUNDAY.

Aquawind · #8 Postby **Aquawind** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 4:47 pm

THE CONTINENTAL RIDGE WILL BLOCK THE LOW FROM ESCAPING TO THE
NORTH...AND MAY EVEN CAUSE IT TO RETROGRADE INTO THE GULF STATES.

Might just linger around long enough..long ways to go yet..

The Dark Knight · #9 Postby **The Dark Knight** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 5:05 pm

Hmmmmm.........

Aquawind · #10 Postby **Aquawind** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 5:17 pm

Hmmmm This qscat is from this morning and clearly shows rotation north..the swirl on visable looked tighter and better organized..it's also further south than this qscat..alot further..

http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/dataimages21 ... MBas19.png

This afternoon's pass missed the E ATL.. :roll:

Anonymous · #11 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 6:18 pm

IMHO from the models, it appears that this system will race Northeastward--and it looks baroclinic not tropical in the models-correct?

lilbump3000 · #12 Postby **lilbump3000** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 6:47 pm

As usually nothing is going to happen with this. Its going to do just what all the other ones did this year. NOTHING

#13 Postby **jlauderdal** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 6:49 pm

lilbump3000 wrote:As usually nothing is going to happen with this. Its going to do just what all the other ones did this year. NOTHING

I agree.

#14 Postby **hial2** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 8:07 pm

Look at your avatar and then at this...eerie,isn't it??

http://www.wunderground.com/global/Regi ... llite.html

rbaker · #15 Postby **rbaker** » Thu Jul 22, 2004 8:15 pm

in less than a month, ya'all will have a change of heart. Its still early!

New Potential!

New Potential!

Hey,Jekyhe...

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