99L getting better organized T number 1.5

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cycloneye
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99L getting better organized T number 1.5

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 30, 2004 7:31 am

30/1145 UTC 26.9N 74.6W T1.5/1.5 99 -- Atlantic Ocean






Dont be surprised when recon goes early this afternoon they find a TD so let's wait until then.

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Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Jul 30, 2004 7:39 am, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby yoda » Fri Jul 30, 2004 7:38 am

I wouldn't be surprised to see a TD this afternoon. The question from there is, how strong will it become, and where does it go? Harder to answer these questions are. Meditate on these, I will. :D
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#3 Postby Tip » Fri Jul 30, 2004 7:42 am

Interesting that the Quickscat signature for 90L is a little better than for 99L.

http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/storm_at_ima ... _at_1.html

http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/storm_at_ima ... _at_0.html
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#4 Postby wx247 » Fri Jul 30, 2004 8:22 am

I don't see the real big organizational hoopla of 99L. Time will only tell though...
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#5 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 30, 2004 9:25 am

YAY! :) 8-)
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#6 Postby vacanechaser » Fri Jul 30, 2004 9:34 am

Tip wrote:Interesting that the Quickscat signature for 90L is a little better than for 99L.



better circulation center... 90l is down to about 1008mbs... 99l is now at the surface with a 1012mb low.. it shoul continue to improve as well... 90l should have a better chance tomorrw as it gets away from 99 and the seperation increases...
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#7 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Jul 30, 2004 9:38 am

IF 99 doesn't develop I will be shocked. The low level circ is really coming together near ~28/75. All it needs is some convection to fire near the center...which won't happen until this afternoon at the earliest.
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#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Jul 30, 2004 9:52 am

I agree 99L is looking impressive this morning and I wouldn't be surprised to see a TD this afternoon.
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#9 Postby vacanechaser » Fri Jul 30, 2004 9:53 am

Air Force Met wrote:IF 99 doesn't develop I will be shocked. The low level circ is really coming together near ~28/75. All it needs is some convection to fire near the center...which won't happen until this afternoon at the earliest.


its trying to right now... lol... gustav revisited... just looks like gustav to me.. will be interesting when recon gets out there..
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#10 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Jul 30, 2004 10:06 am

The low level presentation is looking very good. The upper winds need to be a little more anticyclonic and then it will go...although it will be slow. The water temps are OK...but nothing to write home about.
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#11 Postby vacanechaser » Fri Jul 30, 2004 10:12 am

thats fine.. this area, southern virginia and north carolina realy dont need a big storm right now... still recovering from izzy and the rainfall lately would rival last year this time... lookiing very simalar to last year before isabel.. one exception, the bermuda high is much stronger and further west..

if all works out, H.I.R.T. will be working both systems coming up.. we will of course be in the carolinas for what could be alex... then if we need too, head west as soon as possible.. gonna be a busy week....
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