Moderate Risk of Severe Weather

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NWIASpotter
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Moderate Risk of Severe Weather

#1 Postby NWIASpotter » Sun Aug 01, 2004 1:44 am

The SPC first day 1 outlook has put a moderate risk of severe weather or parts of the eastern dakota, minnesota, iowa, nebraska, and wisconsin. Large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes are all possible. It may be the second straight day of severe weather in my area. YAY!!!
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ssom04
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#2 Postby ssom04 » Sun Aug 01, 2004 6:02 am

Yeah the moderate risk includes me too! Yesterday was like a perfect day 3 severe t-storm warnings in my county all seperate storms and chased all three! Just got back from a late night chase or very early morning chase not sure how to put it....The first one was the best it pretty much blew up right on us and we just waited on some gravel road. Very strong winds with this one...

Looking to chase all day today again! this could turn out to be my best chase weekend this year with a mlcape of 4000 J/kg!!!! :eek: with deep layer shear- 40-45 kT
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NWIASpotter
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#3 Postby NWIASpotter » Sun Aug 01, 2004 12:31 pm

I'm wondering do you operate a ham radio?? And by chance were you talking last night to the emergency manager out of clay county, iowa...I know they were talking to somebody from minnesota, just wondering
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NWIASpotter
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#4 Postby NWIASpotter » Sun Aug 01, 2004 12:37 pm

Since I'm pretty big into numbers and models if you don't already know. Heres some of the numbers that Spencer, Iowas GOES sounding looks like as of 11.

SFC Dewpoint - 68
700 MB DD - 9
PWAT - 2 inches
LAPSE - 8
SHOWALTER - -13
TT - 66
K INDEX - 46
SWEAT - 627
CAPE - 3192
CINH - 243

Nearly all of these are way above and beyond what they need to be to hold severe weather. If things break it could get nasty
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