Alex Advisories

Storm Man · #41 Postby **Storm Man** » Wed Jul 14, 2004 3:34 pm

What Do You Think?

#42 Postby **alicia-w** » Thu Jul 15, 2004 7:35 am

So technically, what area is considered to be the So Atlantic, i.e. where does the No Atlantic end and the So Atl start? Thanks.

#43 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 15, 2004 7:47 am

North Atlantic is north of the Equator and the South Atlantic is south of the Equator.

CocoaBill · #44 Postby **CocoaBill** » Mon Jul 26, 2004 1:35 pm

Anybody care to update their prediction? On June 29th, I predicted Aug 4th.

I may have to move that one too!

#45 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 26, 2004 2:50 pm

I am saying in my second guess august 11 my birthday date.

bahamaswx · #46 Postby **bahamaswx** » Mon Jul 26, 2004 3:02 pm

Not sure if I've ever posted here... hmm... August 13th (it's a Friday!)

Wnghs2007 · #47 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Jul 26, 2004 3:08 pm

NEVER!!!!!!!!!!!Muhahahahahhahahhahhaha. LOL

Na I would have to guess September the 14th.

#48 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 8:10 am

01/1145 UTC 32.0N 79.2W T2.0/2.0 01 -- Atlantic Ocean

Basiclly no change from last night so in terms of the winds they are the same.

Website · #49 Postby **Brent** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 8:52 am

in the deep convection. Steve Lyons just said it was the new recon center fix.

#50 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 8:54 am

Which means there is a good possiblity that TS Alex could form later this afternoon.

#51 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 8:54 am

000
URNT12 KNHC 011301
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 01/1301Z
B. 31 DEG 36 MIN N
79 DEG 14 MIN W
C. NA
D. 25 KT
E. 235 DEG 74 NM
F. 296 DEG 33 KT
G. 235 DEG 74 NM
H. EXTRAP 1011 MB
I. 24 C/ 290 M
J. 25 C/ 283 M
K. 23 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345/1
O. 0.5/2.0 NM
P. AF861 0401A CYCLONE OB 06
MAX FL WIND 33 KT SW QUAD 1236Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT

Very interesting fix by recon about the center more under the convection.Is this a sign that Alex may after all form later today?

chadtm80 · #52 Postby **chadtm80** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 8:55 am

He is reforming further south.. I figured somthing HAD to be going on below that convection for an organized blow up like that

Website · #53 Postby **Brent** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 8:57 am

vbhoutex wrote:Which means there is a good possiblity that TS Alex could form later this afternoon.

YES!!!!

kevin · #54 Postby **kevin** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 8:57 am

Explosive development is always a bit farfetched with a center reforming, but how fast could this new center develop?

#55 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 8:57 am

Yes agree.

Website · #56 Postby **Brent** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 8:58 am

33 kt is *very* close to TS strength. :eek:

ColdFront77 · #57 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 9:02 am

I just saw Dr. Steve Lyons (10 to 15 minutes ago), too.

I was noticing this potential redeveloping low late afternoon and last evening. What an are of convection it is!

I mentioned it in the chatroom yesterday and didn't seem like my observation of this (and others) were taken nicely by some.

The Dark Knight · #58 Postby **The Dark Knight** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 9:06 am

Maybe it is redeveloping??????......

Aquawind · #59 Postby **Aquawind** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 9:11 am

TS today if the convection continues over a reformed LLC..Best convection yet..still looks elongated though..

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Website · #60 Postby **Brent** » Sun Aug 01, 2004 9:13 am

That's for the old center(the one that is naked). The new one is further south in the convection.

Alex Advisories

BLUE MOON HURRICANE ROLL'S OFF AFRICAN COAST!

2.0 for TD#1

TWC says TD 1's center is reforming

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE=Center more south

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