Could TD#1 move into the Gulf

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Could TD#1 move into the Gulf

#1 Postby Guest » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:12 am

??

it sure is acting strange :eek:
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Brent
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#2 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:13 am

Not a chance. The trough will begin to pick it up later today.
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#3 Postby Guest » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:14 am

am I like the ultimate wishcaster on this board?:lol:
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#4 Postby The Dark Knight » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:15 am

Yes. Brent hit the nail on the head... It has too many forces working against it to encourage a southward movement.. There is a trough and a very strong Bermuda high cranking it up the coast...
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#5 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sun Aug 01, 2004 10:16 am

I highly doubt that at this point. But with tropical systems you never know. The only chance this makes it into the gulf is if this system makes a clockwise loop and right into florida. But I don't see evidence of that happening at this time given the approaching mid latitude trough and the bermuda high offshore. The flow would take this system near the Outer Banks, then towards the North Atlantic Shipping Lanes as an extratropical entity. That's the forecast right now.

Jim
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#6 Postby Nimbus » Sun Aug 01, 2004 11:11 am

The upper level high pressure ridge along the east coast has been shearing the upper level convection towards the southwest and the low level circulation can be seen on the Savannah radar elongated North South. Other than the shear factor from the ridge, low level steering for TD1 should eventually come from the front taking the depression northeast.
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