Bonnie Advisories
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- cycloneye
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Derecho what happened to LBAR that it didn't ended as the others did?
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Re: First NHC model run for 91L....
That message says "This is a test message." Is it just practice or real?
The 1800 run for Alex gets him to hurricane strength in 36 hours before diminishing.
ftp://ftp.met.fsu.edu/pub/weather/tropi ... 118.WHXX01
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- cycloneye
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Discussion about 91L=Consolidating
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 NM E OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD
ISLANDS ALONG 40W S OF 15N MOVING W 15-20 KT WITH A 1013 MB LOW
ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 10N. THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN DEEP
EASTERLY FLOW...BUT THE VERTICAL SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS AND THE TSTMS HAVE CONSOLIDATED CLOSER TO THE
AXIS/LOW. THE LOW STILL APPEARS TRAPPED WITHIN THE ITCZ...BUT
SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE MORE TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 38W-43W.
Umm will this wave be Bonnie down the road as the models say?.It looks better tonight in contrast of earlier today.Of course I am watching it very closely from Puerto Rico.
ISLANDS ALONG 40W S OF 15N MOVING W 15-20 KT WITH A 1013 MB LOW
ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 10N. THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN DEEP
EASTERLY FLOW...BUT THE VERTICAL SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS AND THE TSTMS HAVE CONSOLIDATED CLOSER TO THE
AXIS/LOW. THE LOW STILL APPEARS TRAPPED WITHIN THE ITCZ...BUT
SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE MORE TO THE NW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 38W-43W.
Umm will this wave be Bonnie down the road as the models say?.It looks better tonight in contrast of earlier today.Of course I am watching it very closely from Puerto Rico.
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- vacanechaser
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- cycloneye
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The wave begins to appear at the right of the pic there.
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- cycloneye
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Hey abajan and Renata Barbados may be on the bulls eye from whatever it is when it gets there.
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- lilbump3000
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cycloneye wrote:Hey abajan and Renata Barbados may be on the bulls eye from whatever it is when it gets there.
Doubt it, this is likely to bypass the islands to the east as it heads NW-NNW IF it develops. If it does not then, I certainly love the rain.
Let's see what ABajan and Renata think.
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TerryAlly wrote:Doubt it, this is likely to bypass the islands to the east as it heads NW-NNW IF it develops. If it does not then, I certainly love the rain.
I take that back, I just looked at the model run as well as the GOES-12 satellite and the disturbance seems to be organising. Let's see if it slows forward movement. Wednesday should be an interesting day for the Windward Islands.
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