Ridge stronger than expected?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5444
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

Ridge stronger than expected?

#1 Postby Nimbus » Mon Aug 02, 2004 5:11 am

The water vapor loop this morning shows a nice high pressure ridge over Alex giving him excellent outflow. The northern end of the front that was running south to north up the east coast has bowed around to an almost west-east orientation? Also there appears to be an ULL circulation forming to the northeast of Alex. If there is going to be another trough impulse coming along it better get there soon or the big high pressure area over the mid us is going to bridge.
0 likes   

Dave C
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 868
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 4:36 pm
Location: Middleboro, Mass.(midway between Cape Cod and Boston)

Alex...

#2 Postby Dave C » Mon Aug 02, 2004 5:32 am

Check out this WV loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
I'm not sure if this is the loop you looked at but it shows a larger area than the floater.The trough can be seen moving in from the west in the dark color(near the NOAA icon) with a ridge currently over the system. You can also see the upper-low to the NE you mentioned. Water-vapor is excellant for viewing these factors. The SWesterlies should start pushing it NE in time as the trough moves in the next 24hrs.
0 likes   

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5444
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

#3 Postby Nimbus » Mon Aug 02, 2004 5:50 am

Looks to me like the steering currents will give Alex's motion more of an easterly component away from the coast. Bermuda may be in danger though,
0 likes   

rainstorm

#4 Postby rainstorm » Mon Aug 02, 2004 5:57 am

i agree. the overall pattern is in for a huge change.
a major cold front is coming down that will finally end the humidity and non stop rain in virginia. temps will be in the mid 70's later this week. alex will head rapidly ene. it should block the next disturbance as well.
0 likes   

User avatar
The Dark Knight
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 800
Joined: Fri Jun 18, 2004 11:18 am
Location: Mashpee, Cape Cod, MA
Contact:

#5 Postby The Dark Knight » Mon Aug 02, 2004 6:37 am

We'll find out soon enough...
0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#6 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 02, 2004 6:44 am

Definately looks like it's heading out to sea, and thats a good thing because it will most likely become a hurricane IMO.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Team Ghost and 54 guests