Bonnie Advisories

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yoda
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#81 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:07 am

Correct. I hope we will have TD#2 later today, but we will see.

I hope that Bonnie (if that is what happens) moves North of the Carribean and goes near the Bahamas... lol.

Cosgrove (for what its worth, I know its not) says East Coast could be a visiting place for Bonnie in future after August 8. :eek: :D
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#82 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:19 am

Bonnie did that in 1998, this time it wants to visit new scenery, the Caribbean and the Gulf. :eek:
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#83 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 9:22 am

Brent wrote:Bonnie did that in 1998, this time it wants to visit new scenery, the Caribbean and the Gulf. :eek:


LOL! We will have to wait and see. No, I would like a visit, more like a direct hit in the Delmarva Peninsula! :lol: :eek:
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Possible recon for 91L on Wedensday at 1800z

#84 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:16 am

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. NEGATIVE ON ALEX
B. POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST AT 04/1800Z NEAR 14N 58W.
C. POSSIBLE G-IV MISSION WITH A 04/1730Z TAKEOFF.

Also the gulfstream jet may go too to look at the upper patterns.
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#85 Postby senorpepr » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:17 am

Wow... thanks for sharing Luis!
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good luck in PR

#86 Postby Weatherboy1 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:21 am

It's still too early to say for sure, but the longer-term pattern setting up (Deep east coast trough) appears as if it will protect the US mainland from a hit from 91. But you folks in PR may not be so lucky. Keep a close eye on this one in case it does turn into a TS or possible cane. This thing could be in your general area in a couple of days.
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#87 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:22 am

:eek: 8-)
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#88 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:22 am

Hmm.. don't be so sure. Gloria snuck under the trough... and this one might as well. Am I right?
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#89 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:23 am

lets wait and see where it is before turning. I dont want this turning at 18N and 75W
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#90 Postby MWatkins » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:27 am

Wow...the fact that they are considering tasking the Gulfstream is not small potatoes. Those flights are not cheap and they usually don't mess around with those missions.

The TPC must be a little concerned with this system.

MW
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#91 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:27 am

yoda wrote:Hmm.. don't be so sure. Gloria snuck under the trough... and this one might as well. Am I right?


JB Agrees lets watch and see :eek:

http://playlist.yahoo.com/makeplaylist.dll?ID=860853
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#92 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:30 am

MWatkins wrote:Wow...the fact that they are considering tasking the Gulfstream is not small potatoes. Those flights are not cheap and they usually don't mess around with those missions.

The TPC must be a little concerned with this system.

MW


I agree Mike very interesting that they will fly it.They might to want to see what upper flow is there in the area ahead of the system to then make the guidance forecasts.
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#93 Postby The_Cycloman_PR » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:32 am

MWatkins wrote:Wow...the fact that they are considering tasking the Gulfstream is not small potatoes. Those flights are not cheap and they usually don't mess around with those missions.

The TPC must be a little concerned with this system.

MW



Yeahh! I am a little bit concerned also :eek: :eek:
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#94 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:33 am

I am concerned as well... the Gulfstream IV Jets are not used very often.. :eek:
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#95 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:35 am

So it looks like 91L will not be upgraded until the RECON goes to investigate the system.
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#96 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:36 am

right...
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#97 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2004 10:58 am

I think that if the system looks like it is right now they may wait for recon in 2 days but let's see if it organizes more as it is surrounded by dry air.
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TD #2 or Bonnie in the next 36 hours

#98 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:02 am

Image
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#99 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:05 am

Interesting, and if that WNW movement continues... :eek: :eek:
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#100 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 02, 2004 11:07 am

If this tropical wave develops it will be the first truly tropical system of the season. Because Alex's origins were not entirely tropical at all.
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