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FWBHurricane
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Alex looks beautiful!

#541 Postby FWBHurricane » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:12 pm

Recent satellite pictures show that Alex is starting to look like Hurricane. A well defined eye, good outflow, circular shape and the convection is starting to fire up around the eye. I think by tonight Alex will have become a weak Hurricane tracking slowly off the NC coast. Im surprised no Hurricane Watches have been posted.

Radar Image>> http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... 1_sat.html
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#542 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:13 pm

Again, none will be posted. The strongest winds are way offshore and in the E and SE quadrant, which will NOT go anywhere onshore.
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T3.5 for Alex now

#543 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:17 pm

Alex up to T3.5.
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#544 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:18 pm

possible stregthening.... could be a strong tropical storm with 65-70mph winds in 5 PM update! :eek: :D
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#545 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:18 pm

Although Alex will continue moving away from land, hopefully, the system has been jugging and drifting over the last few days, going back and forward. Now if the system becomes a hurricane and unfortunately it moves closer to land, which is possible, then the hurricane winds will be closer or affecting land. Hurricane Watches means that hurricane force winds are possible in the next 48 hours. If Hurricane Watches are not posted at least the public in the coastal areas of the Carolinas should be aware that hurricane-like conditions are possible if and only if the system moves closer to land.
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#546 Postby FWBHurricane » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:33 pm

Ah yes...but you just said that " If this sytem becomes a hurricane and unfortunately, it moves closer to land, which is POSSIBLE...." Right there is saying there is a hurricane force winds POSSIBLE in the area in the next 48 hrs. I think there is good reasons for Hurricane watches since this storm will get so close to land and its moving slowly ( back when Isidore was in the GOM it moved slowly and made landfall on the Yucatan coast,without warning, and it was about the same distance away from land as Alex is now ). Im sorry if a sound like a smart ass.....lol :wink:
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#547 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:35 pm

vbhoutex wrote:BTW, if everyone will note in the vortex message posted in another thread, ("An eye has popped-Hurricane shortly")it reads "open SE" which means there is not an eye or eyewall as of that vortex message.


Your wrong, that means there is an eye forming just not closed, open on the SE side. Read Air Force Met's message again.

L. EYE CHARACTER. This is a brief description of what the eye looks like on radar. "CLOSED WALL" if the eye is completely surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms: the wall cloud. "OPEN NE" means there is a break in the wall to the northeast, etc. If the eye is not at least 50% surrounded by a wall cloud, this item and Item M will be reported as "NA" (Not Applicable).
Last edited by Thunder44 on Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:40 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#548 Postby yoda » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:36 pm

LOL!! That's ok. But there is much discretion used with Hurricane Watches. The reason IMO they are not up is because the west side of Alex is weak... and winds are not above 40 mph.
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#549 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:38 pm

Air Force Met wrote:Platform is a different story. The only reason why John Hope was as good on TWC was he was so old he didn't care about the politics envovled. I guess as a met...it irks me when people think they know so much more than the experts. If they do...then THEY need to get out there and do it for a living. It's real easy to be an amatuer and make snipes at professionals...there's no risk invovled. Those of us who do this for a living put our livelyhood on the line daily and have to pay a price for being wrong...and frankly...it bugs me when backseat experts trash the real experts. If they are so good...then they should be doing it and we'd all be standing in line paying them for it.


I'm an urban designer (and a weatherhead) and couldn't agree with you more. I hate it when people who don't know lick about city planning and urban design bash people in the field. Good work AF.
Last edited by Guest on Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Reports from the Carolinas

#550 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:41 pm

What are conditions in your neighborhood?
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Bane
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#551 Postby Bane » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:43 pm

Light rain, breezy, low 80's
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#552 Postby whereverwx » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:44 pm

rains showers here and there, breezy
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#553 Postby GaryOBX » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:45 pm

From the Outer Banks north of the Warning area... partly to mostly cloudy and muggy. No rain. No wind. Calm...
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#554 Postby bjacobs99 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:47 pm

from goldsboro..cloudy just quit raining..muggy.80's
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#555 Postby Lindaloo » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:47 pm

Be nice in this thread! We are all here because we love the weather. Let's move on.
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#556 Postby NCWeatherChic » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:53 pm

We have been muggy, 80's, thunderstorms then clearing, then thunderstorms and so on. It has been breezy for the past few hours. Severe thunderstorms knock out my power so I stocked up on things we may need "just in case". Not like it wouldn't be used later anyway. I swear I think there's a tree against a line somewhere that makes out power go out so easily, so we purchased gas for the generator. With me being pregnant, 2yr old, 14yr old and 15 yr old. We got to have power. This is the time I hate the country, we get forgotten when power outages are reported. Fran was 3 weeks no power, Floyd was 1 1/2 weeks. Bonnie and Bertha (I believe) just a couple of days. :)
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#557 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:55 pm

First appearance of storm bands in the Charlotte region. Torrential rains, then very breezy, and more rain. Multiple layers of clouds, the lowest of these are moving along from the northeast to southwest at a very fast clip.
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#558 Postby USAwx1 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 1:58 pm

Air Force Met wrote:Platform is a different story. The only reason why John Hope was as good on TWC was he was so old he didn't care about the politics envovled. I guess as a met...it irks me when people think they know so much more than the experts. If they do...then THEY need to get out there and do it for a living. It's real easy to be an amatuer and make snipes at professionals...there's no risk invovled. Those of us who do this for a living put our livelyhood on the line daily and have to pay a price for being wrong...and frankly...it bugs me when backseat experts trash the real experts. If they are so good...then they should be doing it and we'd all be standing in line paying them for it.


I agree with you, but just let it go. No matter how much one preaches about this, the message never really gets through anyway. And the same thing will continue.

This is a message board--we have to expect this kind of stuff.
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#559 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:02 pm

Lindaloo wrote:Be nice in this thread! We are all here because we love the weather. Let's move on.


Great site and great work Lindaloo! Thank you!
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#560 Postby bjacobs99 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:08 pm

a flood watch has just been issued for goldsboro..wayne co.
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