T# for 91l up!

[cycloneye]

Abajan Barbados should not see the center passing over that island because a WNW track will start and if that occurs the center will arrive at the center or northern lesser antilles but still the center this afternoon being at around 11n Barbados should keep watching it very closely.

[yoda]

Ah you beat me to it Luis!!

Hmm hard to see the future of Bonnie (if develops) is...

[Weatherboy1]

Do any of you think Barbados should be concerned about this?

Just curious.

I don't think we're looking at a Barbados threat here. Seems the system is already starting to move to the WNW rather than due W, which should keep it north of your latitude there. I am somewhat more concerned for the Leewards/PR/DR folks, however. Latest 18 UTC tropical model runs have an 80-90 mph cane somewhere in that vicinity 5 days down the road. Intensity forecasts are always a shot in the dark, of course, and there's no way to know if SHIPS is on the money with this one. But I don't have any reason to disbelieve the overall forecast track, given the atmospheric set up. After that, too soon to say if this is a US threat. My suspicion is "no," but again, it's too early.

[abajan]

Where on the islands are you located? The Northern Part?

I'm located in the southern part of the island of Barbados.

[Aquawind]

Awesome view of what is coming off the coast today!



http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/real ... T042151200

[yoda]

I agree with everything you said Weatherboy1. But I have a sneaking suspicion that Bonnie will reach the East Coast before the tough does. If so, then 92L would be forced into the GOM.

[abajan]

Abajan Barbados should not see the center passing over that island because a WNW track will start and if that occurs the center will arrive at the center or northern lesser antilles but still the center this afternoon being at around 11n Barbados should keep watching it very closely.

Okay, thanks cycloneye. I was kind of thinking along those lines too but just needed some reassurance. I'll take your advice and keep an eye on it.

[Brent]

91L looked good off the coast and weakened Saturday a tad..when Alex was the focus..Yesterday this thing started looking better and now overnight like Alex.. 91L has really come into the picture..

Maybe 91L can't stand Alex and wants to top him?

[MWatkins]

You don't need huge balls of deep convection to get a depression. There is adequate convection near the center to warrent a t-number if the banding is in place...and there is plenty of banding apparent in visible imagery.

Now...upgrade at 5 is still questionable...but I have no doubt the t-number is warrented. TAFB has had it at 2.0 since 8am this morning.

MW

[lilbump3000]

Is there anyway it can get on Floater 2 on the nation hurricane center website?

[Brent]

Is there anyway it can get on Floater 2 on the nation hurricane center website?

Unlikely. Floater 2 will probably focus on TD 6-E. I seriously doubt the NHC would put both floaters on Atlantic systems.

[yoda]

You don't need huge balls of deep convection to get a depression. There is adequate convection near the center to warrent a t-number if the banding is in place...and there is plenty of banding apparent in visible imagery.

Now...upgrade at 5 is still questionable...but I have no doubt the t-number is warrented. TAFB has had it at 2.0 since 8am this morning.

MW

Agree. We will have to wait and see. But if not at 5 PM, most definitely by tomorrow morning.

[TerryAlly]

Abajan Barbados should not see the center passing over that island because a WNW track will start and if that occurs the center will arrive at the center or northern lesser antilles but still the center this afternoon being at around 11n Barbados should keep watching it very closely.

Luis, have a look at the visible loop on floater #2. The system is not moving WNW but W. It was moving WNW earlier but no more ... unless my eye deceive me.

Terry