Bonnie Advisories
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91l
It appears that it will move around the Atlantic high and then get caught by the deep east coast trough developing this weekend. If somehow it misses that connection, then the Gulf may have something to worry about.
Anyone else think the same?
Anyone else think the same?
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- Weatherboy1
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Yes, that's the "likely" scenario
In my opinion, that is the most likely scenario. That assumes a couple of things: 1) The large east coast trough forecast by several models to develop does in fact set up on the east coast 2) 91 heads WNW or NW enough to "meet" that trough. If it gets far enough north of PR or the DR, for instance, in about 4 or 5 days, it would likely connect with the trough and be steered NW, then N and into the open Atlantic.
At this point, though, it's too early to say exactly what will happen. Heck, we don't even have a TD yet -- though I will note that for the first time today, there seems to be a nice ball of convection firing up near the center of this wave. If that convection persists and strengthens, we could have a numbered system by tomorrow.
At this point, though, it's too early to say exactly what will happen. Heck, we don't even have a TD yet -- though I will note that for the first time today, there seems to be a nice ball of convection firing up near the center of this wave. If that convection persists and strengthens, we could have a numbered system by tomorrow.
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- HouTXmetro
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- yoda
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It is slowing down and development is expected w/in the next 36 hours.
Also, where did you find that info freeport texas2005? I agree with Eglin AFB... in addition.. HPC is now shying away from East Coast trough in new discussion today.. saying 12z GFS trough is too deep... so a trough may develop, but it may be weak.
Are you sure you don't mean 92L? That will go into the GOM... 91L will NOT!
Also, where did you find that info freeport texas2005? I agree with Eglin AFB... in addition.. HPC is now shying away from East Coast trough in new discussion today.. saying 12z GFS trough is too deep... so a trough may develop, but it may be weak.
Are you sure you don't mean 92L? That will go into the GOM... 91L will NOT!
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- HURAKAN
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Interesting ......
Well-defined African easterly wave from 18n20w to 13n21w to 8n21w...moving west 10 to 15 kt. 1012 mb low pressure center along wave near 13n21w. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong showers and thunderstorms within 60 to 90 nm on either side of 16n21w 11n24w 8n29w.
Another well-defined African easterly wave along 44w/45w south of 15n moving west 10 to 15 kt. 1012 mb low pressure center along wave near 11n. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong showers and thunderstorms from 8n to 14n between 42w and 50w. Isolated moderate showers within 30 nm on either side of 8n50w 8n54w.
Well-defined African easterly wave from 18n20w to 13n21w to 8n21w...moving west 10 to 15 kt. 1012 mb low pressure center along wave near 13n21w. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong showers and thunderstorms within 60 to 90 nm on either side of 16n21w 11n24w 8n29w.
Another well-defined African easterly wave along 44w/45w south of 15n moving west 10 to 15 kt. 1012 mb low pressure center along wave near 11n. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong showers and thunderstorms from 8n to 14n between 42w and 50w. Isolated moderate showers within 30 nm on either side of 8n50w 8n54w.
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- chadtm80
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Floater Over 91L
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- lilbump3000
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Ok good that now we can lok more close to it every half an hour when is updated.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- Three Blind Mice
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- lilbump3000
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There it goes. At first that image was the EPAC one.
Last edited by lilbump3000 on Mon Aug 02, 2004 2:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- Lowpressure
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