Alex Advisories

[hurricanemike]

TPNT KGWC 021828
A. TROPICAL STORM ALEX (ONE)
B. 02/1731Z (50)
C. 31.7N/1
D. 78.7W/2
E. THREE/GOES12
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24HR -02/1731Z-
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

19A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN. ALTHOUGH LLCC VISIBLE CONVECTIVE BAND CONTINUES TO BUILD
AROUND LLCC. LLCC LOCATED 8NM E OF DEEP CNVCTN. FINAL T BASED ON DT. PT AND MET AGREE.

PIATT

[verycoolnin]

This is taken from Wilmington. Check it out before it's off the radar. Very nice loop.

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... ommode=pan

[cycloneye]

Or the NHC will wait for recon to go and check it on wednesday afternoon?.

[Brent]

Or the NHC will wait for recon to go and check it on wednesday afternoon?.

No... I think they will upgrade before then if the convection continues to look good. By Wednesday, it's going to be virtually on top of the Lesser Antilles at it's current motion.

[Guest]

Thanks for posting this...

Here is the chart and yes 2.0 is TD.... I think the NHC is just waiting to see it maintain convection being it is so far out and they have time to watch it-It would be silly to upgrade only to have to downgrade it the next day.

Code: Select all

CI        MWS         MSLP           MSLP          Saffir-Simpson   
Number    (Knots)    (Atlantic)    (NW Pacific)         Category     
 1         25 KTS                                     (Approximate)
 1.5       25 KTS
 2         30 KTS      1009 mb        1000 mb
 2.5       35 KTS      1005 mb         997 mb
 3         45 KTS      1000 mb         991 mb
 3.5       55 KTS       994 mb         984 mb
 4         65 KTS       987 mb         976 mb        1  (64-83 KTS)
 4.5       77 KTS       979 mb         966 mb        1  (64-83 KTS); 2  (84-96 KTS)
 5         90 KTS       970 mb         954 mb        2  (84-96 KTS); 3  (97-113 KTS)
 5.5      102 KTS       960 mb         941 mb        3  (97-113 KTS)
 6        115 KTS       948 mb         927 mb        4  (114-135 KTS)
 6.5      127 KTS       935 mb         914 mb        4  (114-135 KTS)
 7        140 KTS       921 mb         898 mb        5  (136+  KTS)
 7.5      155 KTS       906 mb         879 mb        5  (136+  KTS)
 8        170 KTS       890 mb         858 mb        5  (136+  KTS)

CI   -- Current Intensity
MWS  -- Mean Wind Speed
MSLP -- Mean Sea Level Atmospheric Pressure in Millibars


[Guest]

This is taken from Wilmington. Check it out before it's off the radar. Very nice loop.

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... ommode=pan

The move to the NE appears unconvincing from some of the radars...any chance that he won't move NE until after he hits the Outer Banks?

[The Dark Knight]

Awesome...

[Stormchaser16]

Its moving NE as we speak and should clear the OBX without much fanfare

[Guest]

Rainfall in northern Wake and southern Granville is tremendous... I remember - with dread - the weather before Fran and the water levels from rains the month before...I hope this isn't a harbinger of things to come in September... Winds are stiff with some gusts. Thunder too...

[Guest]

Am looking at long loop from RDU radar. Appears as though the bands are being stopped from progressing beyond Cabarrus County... Maybe the trough is starting to work?

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... krax.shtml

[Guest]

You're right, Storm. I'm looking at long loop from RDU radar. Appears as though the bands are being stopped from progressing beyond Cabarrus and Mecklenburg Counties (Charlotte)... Maybe the trough is starting to work?

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... krax.shtml

[HalloweenGale]

I hope it hits Nantucket.... were due for a hurricane.

[Thunder44]

Take a look at this radar loop, and tell me this storm is moving NE.

http://www.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p1 ... kltx.shtml

[Brent]

Hard to tell, but I trust the NHC. Recon can pinpoint the center and then the NHC uses the old position to see the motion.

[Thunder44]

I don't think it's moving much at all. But it's looks still to be NNE

[Guest]

Looking very impressive IMO.

[ncbird]

Our locals are still saying movement is NNE. Sure hope that it moves more NE soon.

NCBird
New Bern, NC

[Stormchaser16]

That storm is CLEARLY moving slowly NE.......

[Stormchaser16]

Im sorry i just cant see the NNE motion with this, ive studied a few different loops, and it definately appears to be moving more NE then NNE

[Stormsfury]

Meandering ... a little north, a little east ...

total movement IMHO is still NNE ...