EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT???

[hurricanedude]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Stormchaser16]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Western side really flattening out.....

Not sure whats going on here, some SW shear beginning to work in maybe?

[Guest]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html

Very, very impressive...

See reports from NC...seems as though inland NC is taking the brunt of this storm landside at least...

[Aquawind]

should be intensifyig with blowup of conection n nice outflow..

[Aquawind]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

Western side really flattening out.....

Not sure whats going on here, some SW shear beginning to work in maybe?

i saw it as well.. outflow boundry maybe.. dunno for sure.. typing with little puppy on your stomach is tough..

if it is outflow.. thats not associated with strengthening

[Guest]

Am looking at long loop from RDU radar. Appears as though the bands are being stopped from progressing beyond Cabarrus County... Maybe the trough is starting to work?

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... krax.shtml

[The Dark Knight]

Could be a hurricane pretty soon....

[Brent]

When will the next recon be in the system?

[Aquawind]

When will the next recon be in the system?

000
URNT11 KNHC 022251
97779 22514 20269 79100 56200 99005 56599 /4589
RMK AF866 0701A ALEX OB 01

[Hurricanehink]

Wow, big flare up over the center! We may see a stronger Alex at the 8 advisory, but most likely the 11.

[Rainband]

Could be a hurricane pretty soon....

doubt it. The outflow is being disrupted, which would mean no rapid gain in strength

[Stormsfury]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

Western side really flattening out.....

Not sure whats going on here, some SW shear beginning to work in maybe?

i saw it as well.. outflow boundry maybe.. dunno for sure.. typing with little puppy on your stomach is tough..

if it is outflow.. thats not associated with strengthening

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html

I think what's going on here is a small core of westerlies in Southern GA are impinging on Tropical Storm Alex, and with that, the RRQ of that small jet streak just enhanced the crap out of the convection exploding over the center right now...

SF

[GrimReaper]

DUDE:

Grim would LOVE some "explosive" development!!!!

[Stormsfury]

DUDE:

Grim would LOVE some "explosive" development!!!!

LOL LOL LOL !!!!

[Rainband]

Looks like the center is being elongated a tad. The convection heading NE off Florida will only make the shear worse. Right??

[Agua]

Check out the data from the various observation bouys off SC & NC:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/Southeast.shtml

[Aquawind]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

Western side really flattening out.....

Not sure whats going on here, some SW shear beginning to work in maybe?

i saw it as well.. outflow boundry maybe.. dunno for sure.. typing with little puppy on your stomach is tough..

if it is outflow.. thats not associated with strengthening

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html

I think what's going on here is a small core of westerlies in Southern GA are impinging on Tropical Storm Alex, and with that, the RRQ of that small jet streak just enhanced the crap out of the convection exploding over the center right now...

SF

Thats sounds highly plausable and would certainly explain the explosion of convection and outflow to the NE..looks like it could be some shear enhancment as well..


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Oh yea..lemme clarify my earlier statement for some..outflow boundries are not good for intensifying..outflow in the upper levels is..dang puppy is so cute but a hinderance sometimes..lol

[Matthew5]

I expect it as it moves faster to the northeast or east-northeast meaning moving with the shear. It will get alot stronger. Meaning the deeper convection with the center is only the first signs of this. I think a clear eye wall by tomarrow if it picks up speed off to the northeast.


Just my 2 cents!

[Rainband]

Thanks Aqua.

[Stormsfury]

I expect it as it moves faster to the northeast or east-northeast meaning moving with the shear. It will get alot stronger. Meaning the deeper convection with the center is only the first signs of this. I think a clear eye wall by tomarrow if it picks up speed off to the northeast.

Just my 2 cents!

The medium ML flow must catch up with the upper level winds to yield a net result of insignificant shearing before this occurs ... however, with the very strong convection being enhanced by diffluence, some slight increase in winds is easily plausible with that kind of blow up.

SF