Alex Advisories

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playangel
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conditions from Morehead City

#661 Postby playangel » Mon Aug 02, 2004 6:46 pm

We had a light shower this afternoon, no rain since then...lots of very dark clouds building with very hot/humid air..
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#662 Postby Agua » Mon Aug 02, 2004 6:48 pm

The data reports from the various observation bouys around SC & NC are unimpressive.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/Southeast.shtml
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8 P.M. Alex: 65 mph winds

#663 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 02, 2004 6:56 pm

Tropical Storm Alex Intermediate Advisory Number 10a

Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on August 02, 2004

... Alex getting a little better organized off the
North Carolina coast...

a Hurricane Warning is in effect from Cape Lookout to Oregon Inlet
North Carolina...including the Pamlico Sound. This means that
hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area during
the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should
be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from north of Oregon Inlet to
the North Carolina/Virginia border...including the Albemarle Sound.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from South Santee River
South Carolina to Cape Lookout North Carolina.

At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Tropical Storm Alex was located
near latitude 32.4 north...longitude 78.1 west or about 130 miles
south of Wilmington North Carolina.

Alex is moving toward the northeast near 9 mph. On the forecast
track ...the center of Alex is expected to pass very near the North
Carolina Outer Banks on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph...with higher gusts...based
on Doppler radar information. Alex is forecast to become a
hurricane during the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb...29.32 inches.

Storm total rainfall accumulations of 2-3 inches...with isolated
higher amounts...can be expected in association with Alex.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 1-2 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected on Atlantic shorelines. Storm surge flooding of 2-4
feet above normal tide levels can be expected inside Pamlico Sound.
High surf and rip currents will affect much of the southeastern and
mid-Atlantic U.S. Coastal areas for the next couple of days.

Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...32.4 N... 78.1 W. Movement
toward...northeast near 8 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 65 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
at 11 PM EDT.
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#664 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 02, 2004 6:59 pm

Getting closer to cane status, definately think it will be a cat 1 by the morning. If I were in the Morehead City area and the outer banks to the east, I would be getting nervous...
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#665 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:07 pm

Interesting..Now radar does the talking..If someone has a graphic of the Radar winds please post it.. 8-)
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Update 1 from Dare County Control Group...

#666 Postby Mix96-WCNC-WZBO » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:27 pm

Date: 8/2/2004 Media Contact: Dorothy Toolan
Time: 6:00 P.M. Public Information Officer
Event: Tropical Storm Alex

Bulletin Number: 1 Web Address: http://www.darenc.com

The National Hurricane Center has announced that areas in Dare County south of Oregon Inlet (Hatteras Island) are under a Hurricane Warning meaning that hurricane conditions are expected in the area within the next 24 hours. Areas north of Oregon Inlet (including Duck, Southern Shores, Kitty Hawk, Kill Devil Hills, Nags Head and Manteo/Dare Mainland) are under a Tropical Storm Warning.

The Dare County Control Group met at 5:00 p.m. Monday, August 2 to receive updated information about the storm’s track. According to the latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center, gale force winds (ranging from 34 to 50 m.p.h.) are expected to reach Hatteras Island by 8:00 a.m. Tuesday and will remain in the Hatteras area until 6:00 p.m. Tuesday. Sustained winds for Hatteras Island on Tuesday afternoon will reach 60 to 65 m.p.h. with gusts reaching minimal hurricane strength by 2:00 p.m. Tuesday.

Residents and visitors on Hatteras Island should exercise caution traveling on Tuesday as rain conditions may be heavy at times. High profile vehicles should stay off the road after 8:00 a.m. Tuesday until weather conditions improve late in the day. Campers are advised to seek shelter indoors. Rip currents throughout the county will be strong with high seas and rough surf.

Beaches north of Oregon Inlet can anticipate winds of 30 to 35 m.p.h. throughout the day with rain bands and gusts exceeding 40 to 45 m.p.h.

No evacuation orders have been issued for any areas of Dare County; however, residents and visitors are advised to closely monitor the storm’s progress.

###
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Rainband

#667 Postby Rainband » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:28 pm

Welcome and Enjoy S2K. Thanks for the info :wink:
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#668 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:29 pm

Welcome to the board! Stay Safe! :)
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Mix96-WCNC-WZBO
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#669 Postby Mix96-WCNC-WZBO » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:33 pm

Thanks, will be posting periodically thru Alex's run over our coverage area. BTW, to all in the listening area, we will go full blown on all East Carolina Radio stations between 5a and 6a...will keep you up to date on whats happening from here at the Elizabeth City studios as well as from our colleagues in Nags Head.
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#670 Postby Three Blind Mice » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:33 pm

Wrightsville Beach is very calm at the moment...considering there is a storm nearby.
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#671 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:36 pm

Thank you for posting the information here.

Welcome to STORM2K! We are more than happy to host as many OEM and media reps as care to join us here at the year round weather site.
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#672 Postby Aquawind » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:36 pm

Mix96-WCNC-WZBO wrote:Thanks, will be posting periodically thru Alex's run over our coverage area. BTW, to all in the listening area, we will go full blown on all East Carolina Radio stations between 5a and 6a...will keep you up to date on whats happening from here at the Elizabeth City studios as well as from our colleagues in Nags Head.


Storm2K is rockin live now.. :D

http://66.98.251.192/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=35046
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krisj
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#673 Postby krisj » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:42 pm

Here in Charleston now it is pouring like crazy.
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New Vortex

#674 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:44 pm

URNT12 KNHC 030018
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/0018Z
B. 32 DEG 23 MIN N
78 DEG 11 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1310 M
D. 40 KT
E. 163 DEG 29 NM
F. 252 DEG 52 KT
G. 157 DEG 016 NM
H. 988 MB
I. 17 C/ 1538 M
J. 19 C/ 1536 M
K. 18 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C25
N. 1234/8
O. 0.5/1.0 NM
P. AF866 0701A ALEX OB 04
MAX FL WIND 52 KT S QUAD 0006Z.
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#675 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:46 pm

krisj wrote:Here in Charleston now it is pouring like crazy.


A small convective band (outer feeder band) is training across your region ... although the convection is moving SSW, the total movement is not moving east or west, and thus ... the training...

SF
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#676 Postby Hurricanehink » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:46 pm

988 mb! Is the 40 knots at letter D what I think it is? It must be stronger than that.
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Matthew5

#677 Postby Matthew5 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:47 pm

Holy wow! 988 millibars!!! But only 52 knots flight level winds = 45 knot surface?
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#678 Postby Bane » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:47 pm

It is stronger than that. The pressure has dropped another 5 MB.
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#679 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:47 pm

988mb thats basically a hurricane. Which a hurricane usually start at 987mb.
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#680 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Aug 02, 2004 7:48 pm

Hurricanehink wrote:988 mb! Is the 40 knots at letter D what I think it is? It must be stronger than that.


That's just the first pass ...

BTW, RECON has now found

988 mb pressure
Closed Eyewall

Probably if the trend continues ... 11 pm --- Hurricane Alex ---
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