WXBUFFJIM wrote:Very interesting to see potentially a more southerly component to this trough axis to the west of Alex. This may shove Alex right into the Cape Hatteras and Pamilco Sound area before it even gets back out over the ocean tomorrow afternoon. There is also potential this could peak at 70 kts if this does indeed occur, which is one possibility. Another possibility is keeping Alex offshore, which is still possible. But with a more southerly component to that trough west of Alex, this could mean a more north or north northeast motion as opposed to a northeast or east northeast motion at least through tonight into Tuesday morning. The track of this is very critical since the wind fields with this thing are very small in size. Wilmington, NC is seeing 5-10 mph winds with higher gusts in rain squalls while 90 miles south of there, the tropical storm force winds with hurricane force gusts start impacting the offshore waters. This will be very interesting for the Outer Banks tomorrow and the potential projected paths I'm talking about above could mean the difference between getting winds of 20-25 mph and winds of 70-90 mph at Cape Hatteras. A very small wind field with this system obviously. We'll keep an eye on it. Stay tuned.
Jim
Me and NCBird were actually just discussing the Pamilco sound scenerio earlier tonight. Lets hope that doesn't happen as it causes horrid flooding problems.
my Cowboys