Alex Advisories

[elw]

Why don't you put it at the top of the forum then?
Everyone has been making new threads all day for advisories and so on, why just be rude to one person?

I don't think he was being rude at all. He posted similar messages telling the members to try to keep that information in one thread instead of starting a bunch of new ones for the same basic thing.

[USAwx1]

Maybe he missed the previous messages about this USAwx1 so I made that thread a sticky for now.

Thanks, Kelly.

Why don't you put it at the top of the forum then?
Everyone has been making new threads all day for advisories and so on, why just be rude to one person?

IN NO WAY was I trying to be rude. I just would like to see all of this information kept in one place--which makes life easier by eliminating the need to create all sorts of new threads dealing with the same information, and also helps us develop an easy-to-access archive for all the advisories and vortex messages. I'm sorry if it didn't sound that way. it was NOT my intention.

[ColdFront77]

Why don't you put it at the top of the forum then?
Everyone has been making new threads all day for advisories and so on, why just be rude to one person?

For the record, I don't believe Forecasters have access to making stickies and announcements.

Thanks for making it a sticky, Kelly.

[USAwx1]

Why don't you put it at the top of the forum then?
Everyone has been making new threads all day for advisories and so on, why just be rude to one person?

For the record, I don't believe Forecasters have access to making stickies and announcements.

Thanks for making it a sticky, Kelly.

the s2k forecasters can post stickies, not announcements though. I'm not an s2k forecaster any longer so i cant post stickies anymore either.

[ColdFront77]

I meant forecasters and professional mets.

Only administrators can post announcements. I was aware of that, but wasn't at the moment I made my post above.

I being the mod. of the Greetings & Stats forum... only have access to make thread stickies in that forum.

[Anonymous]

I am hoping this will not be very bad for Hatteras. Remember, they just got hit by Isabel last September. I was in Nags Head last October, three weeks after Izzy hit them and the damage was appalling.

I was really hoping that the Outer Banks would not get any more tropical cyclones for a while, at least for this season.

[ncbird]

000
WTNT31 KNHC 030542
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2004

...ALEX BECOMES THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2004 SEASON...MOVING
ALMOST PARALLEL TO THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
INDICATE THAT ALEX HAS BECOME A HURRICANE.

AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.4 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX
IS FORECAST TO PASS VERY NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS LATER
TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER. A NOAA BUOY LOCATED NEAR FRYING PAN SHOALS NORTH CAROLINA
RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 49 MPH.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2-3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1-2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED ON ATLANTIC SHORELINES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED INSIDE PAMLICO SOUND.
HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...33.0 N... 77.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

[verycoolnin]

New NexRad from MoreHead City. Hold on because this one's going to be close. http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... ommode=pan

[Matthew5]

The storm is bombing so to speak! Its Cdo over the last few frames have become round. With a warm spot forming in the center. I would not be surprized if this had a clear eye this afternoon with winds of 85 to 90 mph? Pressure 972 to 975 millibars? I think this is because the system is moving with the shear. We see that with many storms. Lets see how it turns out.

[Anonymous]

I am sorry USAwx1 I thought you could post a sticky at the top. Didn't mean to snap at you. I figured you help us to understand the weather you could sure help us out with a sticky! LOL

[ncbird]

5am advisory has him at 80mph. Gotta admit, Alex has become more than I had thought he would. Just hoping he goes the track they say and will go on the east side of the outter banks. Even the thought of him cutting between the island's and the main land makes me shiver.

NCBird
New Bern, NC

[Thunder44]

Is it me or has the eye taken a more northerly turn. Like NNE.

http://www.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p1 ... kmhx.shtml

[ncbird]

I have been watching that and wondering the same thing. Sure kinda looks like it, but hoping not.

NCBird

[Pebbles]

Saw it too but I'm not really awake...glad someone else mentioned it. Gonna be a real close call for Morehead..they got nasty rain bands hitting em anyways.

[WXBUFFJIM]

TIME POSITION WINDS PRESSURE MOVEMENT

2 AM 8/2 31.4N 79.4W 40 mph 1005 mb 29.68 inches stationary
5 AM 8/2 31.4N 79.5W 40 mph 1004 mb 29.65 inches stationary
8AM 8/2 31.3N 79.0W 60 mph 992 mb 29.29 inches drifting east
11AM 8/2 31.5N 78.7W 60 mph 993 mb 29.32 inches ENE @ 5 mph

2PM 8/2 31.8N 78.6W 60 mph 993mb 29.32 inches NE @ 6 mph
5PM 8/2 32.1N 78.5W 60 mph 993mb 29.32 inches NNE @ 6 mph
8PM 8/2 32.4N 78.1W 65 mph 993 mb 29.32 inches NE @ 8 mph
11PM 8/2 32.8N 77.8W 70 mph 987mb 29.15 inches NE @ 9 mph

2AM 8-3 33.0N 77.4W 75 mph 983mb 29.03 inches NE @ 9 mph
5AM 8-3 33.5N 76.9W 80 mph 983mb 29.03 inches NE @ 10 mph

[GaryOBX]

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kmhx.shtml

This is the Morehead City short-range loop (last 45 minutes). Definitely more NNE than NE. Looking like it's headed straight for Ocracoke Island if it keeps on this trajectory.

[ChaserUK]

well this brings back memories!!!! I remember using that radar site watching Izzy come ashore last year! Have to say, Alex has developed more than I thought too!

[GaryOBX]

KILL DEVIL HILLS, NC 06:30AM 03-AUG-2004
Overcast with Showers
76 degrees
89% humidity
SSE winds 0-5 mph
1010 mb

[Guest]

Keep us posted Gary!

[Derek Ortt]

Looking at some radar imagery, this looks more organized than a 70KT storm, closer to 75 or 80KT storms that have made landfall before and sure a lot better than Claudette looked last year. Hoping recon doesnt find too much of a surprise when they enter the soon shortly